Topbuild Corp Stock Price Prediction
| BLD Stock | USD 378.11 1.24 0.33% |
Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.187 | EPS Estimate Current Year 20.0956 | EPS Estimate Next Year 21.9145 | Wall Street Target Price 382.02 |
Using Topbuild Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Topbuild Corp from the perspective of Topbuild Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Topbuild Corp using Topbuild Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Topbuild using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Topbuild Corp's stock price.
Topbuild Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Topbuild Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Topbuild. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Topbuild Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 330.1641 | Short Percent 0.0742 | Short Ratio 3.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 321.557 |
Topbuild Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Topbuild Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Topbuild. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Topbuild can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Topbuild Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Topbuild Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Topbuild Corp.
Topbuild Corp Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Topbuild Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Topbuild Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Topbuild Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Topbuild Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Topbuild Corp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Topbuild Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Topbuild because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Topbuild Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 369.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Topbuild contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Topbuild Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Topbuild Corp trading at USD 378.11, that is roughly USD 0.12 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Topbuild Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Topbuild Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Topbuild Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Topbuild Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Topbuild Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Topbuild Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Topbuild Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Topbuild Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Topbuild Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Topbuild Corp's historical news coverage. Topbuild Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 367.20 and 415.92, respectively. We have considered Topbuild Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Topbuild Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Topbuild Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Topbuild Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Topbuild Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Topbuild Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Topbuild Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.50 | 8.41 | 0.21 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
378.11 | 369.70 | 2.22 |
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Topbuild Corp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of July Topbuild Corp is traded for 378.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -8.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Topbuild is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 369.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 12.48%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Topbuild Corp is about 501.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 377.90. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.75. Topbuild Corp last dividend was issued on the March 9, 1992. The entity had 76:75 split on the October 6, 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Topbuild Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Topbuild Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Topbuild Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Topbuild Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Topbuild Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Topbuild Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APG | Api Group Corp | 0.09 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.28 | 3.63 | (0.87) | 9.38 | |
| MYRG | MYR Group | 0.65 | 9 per month | 0.57 | 0.23 | 3.33 | (2.33) | 23.28 | |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA | 6.90 | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.30 | 4.51 | (2.35) | 8.48 | |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | (0.49) | 11 per month | 1.93 | 0.12 | 4.65 | (3.70) | 10.85 | |
| ACA | Arcosa Inc | 0.50 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 2.84 | (2.45) | 8.50 | |
| AMRC | Ameresco | 0.39 | 10 per month | 2.23 | 0.24 | 8.91 | (4.20) | 20.14 | |
| EME | EMCOR Group | (12.52) | 10 per month | 0.69 | 0.30 | 3.84 | (1.78) | 7.37 | |
| DY | Dycom Industries | (0.57) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.27 | 3.29 | (1.39) | 17.82 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | (0.86) | 8 per month | 0.54 | 0.1 | 2.26 | (1.33) | 5.35 | |
| MTZ | MasTec Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | 0.22 | 3.05 | (1.83) | 8.20 | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | 0.43 | 11 per month | 1.54 | 0.24 | 3.82 | (2.74) | 14.43 |
Topbuild Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Topbuild price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Topbuild using various technical indicators. When you analyze Topbuild charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Topbuild Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Topbuild Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Topbuild Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Topbuild Corp based on analysis of Topbuild Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Topbuild Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Topbuild Corp's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.16 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.78 | 1.02 |
Story Coverage note for Topbuild Corp
The number of cover stories for Topbuild Corp depends on current market conditions and Topbuild Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Topbuild Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Topbuild Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Topbuild Corp Short Properties
Topbuild Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Topbuild Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Topbuild Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Topbuild Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Topbuild Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 400.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Topbuild Stock analysis
When running Topbuild Corp's price analysis, check to measure Topbuild Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topbuild Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Topbuild Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topbuild Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topbuild Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topbuild Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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