Topbuild Corp Stock Price Prediction
| BLD Stock | USD 373.05 11.80 3.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.072 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 20.8966 | EPS Estimate Next Year 22.4798 | Wall Street Target Price 444.3637 |
Using Topbuild Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Topbuild Corp from the perspective of Topbuild Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Topbuild Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Topbuild Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Topbuild. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Topbuild can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Topbuild Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Topbuild Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Topbuild Corp.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Topbuild Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Topbuild because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Topbuild Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 373.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Topbuild |
Topbuild Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Topbuild Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Topbuild Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Topbuild Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Topbuild Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Topbuild Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Topbuild Corp's historical news coverage. Topbuild Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 371.00 and 375.38, respectively. We have considered Topbuild Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Topbuild Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Topbuild Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Topbuild Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Topbuild Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Topbuild Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Topbuild Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.17 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
373.05 | 373.19 | 0.04 |
|
Topbuild Corp Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of November Topbuild Corp is traded for 373.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Topbuild is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 373.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 140.0%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Topbuild Corp is about 155.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 373.18. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.19 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 614.25 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.49 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Topbuild Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Topbuild Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Topbuild Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Topbuild Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Topbuild Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Topbuild Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APG | Api Group Corp | (0.28) | 9 per month | 1.64 | (0.02) | 3.26 | (3.02) | 7.65 | |
| MYRG | MYR Group | 2.24 | 9 per month | 1.83 | 0.17 | 4.73 | (3.54) | 17.58 | |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA | 19.09 | 10 per month | 2.77 | 0.17 | 5.28 | (2.23) | 17.05 | |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | 0.15 | 12 per month | 2.06 | 0.19 | 6.10 | (3.32) | 16.71 | |
| ACA | Arcosa Inc | (0.16) | 8 per month | 1.50 | 0.13 | 4.07 | (2.32) | 10.39 | |
| AMRC | Ameresco | (5.52) | 9 per month | 5.11 | (0.02) | 7.73 | (7.52) | 25.04 | |
| EME | EMCOR Group | (14.64) | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.17 | 3.31 | (2.67) | 11.32 | |
| DY | Dycom Industries | 11.63 | 10 per month | 3.11 | (0.02) | 4.43 | (3.57) | 19.59 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 1.35 | 11 per month | 0.46 | 0.27 | 2.88 | (1.32) | 6.13 | |
| MTZ | MasTec Inc | (0.68) | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.13 | 4.33 | (2.85) | 10.15 | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | 2.22 | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.21 | 4.15 | (1.78) | 17.09 |
Topbuild Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Topbuild price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Topbuild using various technical indicators. When you analyze Topbuild charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Topbuild Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Topbuild Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Topbuild Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Topbuild Corp based on analysis of Topbuild Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Topbuild Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Topbuild Corp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.16 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.27 | 2.39 |
Story Coverage note for Topbuild Corp
The number of cover stories for Topbuild Corp depends on current market conditions and Topbuild Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Topbuild Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Topbuild Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Topbuild Corp Short Properties
Topbuild Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Topbuild Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Topbuild Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Topbuild Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Topbuild Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 848.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Topbuild Stock analysis
When running Topbuild Corp's price analysis, check to measure Topbuild Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topbuild Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Topbuild Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topbuild Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topbuild Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topbuild Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies |