Api Group Corp Stock Price Prediction

APG Stock  USD 32.54  0.14  0.43%   
As of 10th of October 2024, the relative strength momentum indicator of Api Group's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Api Group, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Api Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Api Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Api Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Api Group Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Api Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.853
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.55
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.87
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.17
Wall Street Target Price
44.63
Using Api Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Api Group Corp from the perspective of Api Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Api Group Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Api Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Api. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Api can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Api Group Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Api Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Api Group.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Api Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Api because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Api Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 32.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Api Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Api Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1433.2735.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.5232.6534.79
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.8332.7836.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.500.510.55
Details

Api Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Api Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Api Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Api Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Api Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Api Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Api Group's historical news coverage. Api Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.56 and 34.82, respectively. We have considered Api Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.54
32.69
After-hype Price
34.82
Upside
Api Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Api Group Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Api Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Api Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Api Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Api Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.13
  0.01 
  0.45 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.54
32.69
0.03 
5,325  
Notes

Api Group Hype Timeline

On the 10th of October Api Group Corp is traded for 32.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.45. Api is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Api Group is about 99.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.99. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.93 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 153 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.74 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Api Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Api Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Api Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Api Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Api Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Api Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BLDTopbuild Corp 11.03 10 per month 2.84 (0.01) 5.47 (5.29) 16.22 
MYRGMYR Group 0.57 11 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.73 (4.76) 27.26 
FIXComfort Systems USA 4.20 9 per month 3.42  0.12  5.30 (6.27) 19.69 
ROADConstruction Partners 1.57 11 per month 3.05  0.11  6.10 (5.21) 15.01 
PRIMPrimoris Services(0.22)10 per month 2.42  0.10  5.39 (4.97) 15.09 
GVAGranite Construction Incorporated(0.36)10 per month 0.78  0.26  3.16 (1.81) 7.02 
MTRXMatrix Service Co(0.45)9 per month 2.37  0.1  5.19 (4.60) 19.14 
ACAArcosa Inc(0.51)13 per month 2.93  0.05  4.07 (3.60) 18.54 
EMEEMCOR Group(0.03)10 per month 2.65  0.09  3.72 (4.48) 13.79 
DYDycom Industries 5.51 10 per month 2.45  0.03  3.48 (4.11) 14.81 

Api Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Api price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Api using various technical indicators. When you analyze Api charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Api Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Api Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Api Group Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Api Group based on analysis of Api Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Api Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Api Group's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03370.0655
Price To Sales Ratio1.170.76

Story Coverage note for Api Group

The number of cover stories for Api Group depends on current market conditions and Api Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Api Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Api Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Api Group Short Properties

Api Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Api Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Api Group Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Api Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Api Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding235.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments479 M

Complementary Tools for Api Stock analysis

When running Api Group's price analysis, check to measure Api Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Api Group is operating at the current time. Most of Api Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Api Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Api Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Api Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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