Does Deutsche Bank (USA Stocks:DB) have strong fundamental drivers based on the current rise?

Deutsche Bank AG has been navigating a complex financial landscape, with recent figures indicating a mix of resilience and ongoing challenges. The bank's total stockholder equity stands at approximately $78 billion, reflecting a solid foundation. Its revenue per share is around $14.65, supported by a market cap of roughly $61 billion, and a price-to-book ratio close to 0.65 suggests the stock trades at a discount relative to its book value. On the expense side, interest costs are significant at about $36.3 billion, and the bank's total liabilities, including non-current liabilities of over $1.3 trillion, highlight the scale of its operations. Despite these large numbers, Deutsche Bank’s recent profit margin is modest at 0.14%, and the company has experienced a change in working capital of nearly -$38 billion, which can impact liquidity. While the bank's cash flow from operations is robust at around $164 billion, its recent rally prompts questions about whether its underlying fundamentals are strengthening or merely reflecting short-term momentum. With an analyst target price of approximately $15.43 and a dividend yield of 0.77%, investors should weigh these factors carefully when considering Deutsche Bank’s current position. Currently, Deutsche Bank's market capitalization has been trending downward over recent years. The Price-to-Sales ratio is expected to rise to 1.21 this year, while the enterprise value is projected to increase to around 4.1 billion. If you've been watching Deutsche Bank, you might be contemplating an entry. Let’s see if solid fundamentals support a continued price increase. Our analysis suggests the stock is undervalued, with a true value nearing $35.07 per share. This indicates potential upside for investors willing to look beyond short-term fluctuations.
Published over a week ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

Our analysis tool complements Deutsche Bank's overall investment outlook, which is based on the average analyst sentiment. It evaluates the bank’s growth prospects by examining fundamental data, technical trends, and current market conditions. Deutsche Bank’s estimated annual dividend per share is around $0.40, offering insight into its valuation. Stocks that pay dividends tend to be more resilient during market downturns, providing a steady income stream that can help cushion against losses. However, it’s crucial to remember that dividends aren’t guaranteed—banks like Deutsche Bank can cut or suspend payments if they face financial challenges or need to conserve cash. Also, while dividend stocks can offer stability, they might not deliver the same rapid growth as non-dividend-paying stocks, especially in sectors focused on high expansion.

Key Points

Deutsche Bank's recent rally is supported by a solid Total Stockholder Equity of $77.8 billion and a favorable Forward PE of 10.29, indicating valuation levels that could appeal to value-focused investors. However, with a modest Profit Margin of 0.14% and a high Total Debt of $151.49 billion, caution is warranted as underlying profitability and leverage levels suggest the potential for volatility despite the apparent momentum.
Typically, a company's financial statements are the reports that show the financial position of the company. There are three main documents that fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Deutsche Bank income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows. Potential Deutsche Bank investors and stakeholders use financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned to perform in the future. Although Deutsche Bank investors may use each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Deutsche Bank's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Deutsche Bank's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet, but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The goal of Deutsche Bank fundamental analysis is to do accurate financial forecasts. There are several possible objectives to fundamental analysis, such as projecting of Deutsche Bank performance into the future periods or doing a reasonable stock valuation. The intrinsic value of Deutsche Bank shares is the value that is considered the true value of the share. If the intrinsic value of Deutsche is higher than its market price, buying is generally recommended. If it is equal to the market price, it is recommended to hold; and if it is less than the market price, then one should sell all shares Deutsche Bank. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of Deutsche Bank earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. Deutsche Bank dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. Deutsche one year expected dividend income is about USD0.4 per share.
Investing in stocks that pay dividends, such as stock of Deutsche Bank AG, is one of many strategies that are good for long-term investments. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in Deutsche Bank must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend.
This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for Deutsche Bank. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

How important is Deutsche Bank's Liquidity

Deutsche Bank financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Deutsche Bank AG ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Deutsche Bank financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Deutsche Bank's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Deutsche Bank's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Deutsche Bank's total debt and its cash.

Breaking down Deutsche Bank Further

Many companies such as Deutsche Bank have both institutions investors and insiders sharing the ownership. Retail investors typically buy and sell stocks in round lots of 100 shares or more. Other other hand institutional investors are known to buy and sell in block trades of 10,000 shares or more. Let's take a look at how the ownership of Deutsche is distributed among investors.

Ownership Allocation

Deutsche Bank holds a total of 1.94 Billion outstanding shares. Over half of Deutsche Bank's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that obtain positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. On May 13, 2025, Representative Bruce Westerman of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Deutsche Bank AG's common stock.
Retail Investors
39.76%
Insiders
8.18%
Institutions
52.06%
Retail Investors39.76
Insiders8.18
Institutions52.06
Please be aware that individual investors typically purchase shares for their personal accounts and usually in smaller quantities compared to institutional investors. While they might influence Deutsche Bank's decisions if they own a significant combined portion of its shares, such influence is relatively rare. Conversely, institutional investors - like mutual funds, pension funds, hedge funds, and other investment companies - often have a substantial sway over Deutsche Bank's decisions due to their larger holdings.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Gross Profit26.7B28.9B30.0B27.0B
Total Revenue26.7B28.9B28.3B26.9B

Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The current return on assets of Deutsche suggests not a very effective usage of assets in July.
Non Current Assets Total
1.5 T
Non Currrent Assets Other
1.3 T
Non Current Assets Total1.52 Trillion45.71
Non Currrent Assets Other1.3 Trillion39.18
Other Assets(301.41 Billion)-9.05
Other Current Assets(63.71 Billion)-1.91
Total Current Assets242.21 Billion7.27
Intangible Assets4.16 Billion0.13
Net Tangible Assets52.64 Billion1.58
Deferred Long Term Asset Charges0.00.0
Earning Assets569.08 Billion17.09
A penny saved is a penny earned, and Deutsche Bank's recent financials suggest it’s making strides in strengthening its core fundamentals. The bank's EBITDA of 8.66 billion and a profit margin of 14% indicate solid operational performance, despite a free cash flow of -29.1 billion reflecting ongoing investment and restructuring efforts. With a PE ratio of 16.38 and a return on equity of 5.17%, Deutsche Bank shows moderate valuation and profitability levels, supported by a net income of 3.5 billion from continuing operations. While its long-term debt remains high at 137.1 billion, the bank's diversified capital markets focus and institutional ownership of over 52% point to sustained investor confidence amid its recent rally.

Will Deutsche Bank current rise continue?

Deutsche Bank's recent volatility dropping to 3.06 suggests the stock may be entering a calmer phase, with fewer sharp price swings ahead. While this steadiness could indicate the market is settling, it also raises questions about whether the recent gains can be maintained. Investors should watch how this lower variance influences future moves—whether it signals a pause before the next trend or a potential shift in direction. The bank’s low skewness and kurtosis, both at 0.33, point to relatively stable risk patterns, making volatility metrics useful tools for timing entries and exits. During downturns, increased market volatility often impacts Deutsche Bank’s stock more sharply, prompting investors to rebalance their portfolios as prices fluctuate.
Keeping an eye on these indicators can help navigate the bank’s stock through changing market conditions.Given Deutsche Bank's recent price uptick, caution is warranted. The current rally appears to lack strong fundamentals backing it, especially considering the analyst consensus leans heavily toward a "Strong Sell" outlook. With the valuation hype value at around 31.28 and the more realistic valuation estimate near 35.07, there's a notable gap suggesting overenthusiasm. The potential downside price of approximately 28.89 further underscores the risks involved. Investors should carefully weigh these factors before jumping in, as the recent gains might not hold up in the face of these less optimistic projections..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Deutsche Bank AG. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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