Old Point Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OPOF Stock  USD 20.93  0.18  0.87%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Old Point Financial is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Old Point buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OPOF positions.
  
Check out Old Point Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Old and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Old Point Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Old Point Buy or Sell Advice

The Old recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Old Point Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Old Point Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Old Point's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Old PointBuy Old Point
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Old Point Financial has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1105, Jensen Alpha of 0.1887, Total Risk Alpha of (0.13), Sortino Ratio of 0.0358 and Treynor Ratio of 0.9847
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Old Point. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Old Point is not overpriced, please check all Old Point Financial fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Old Point Financial has a number of shares shorted of 2.39 K, we recommend you to check out Old Point Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Old Point Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Old Point Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 27th of September 2024 Old Point paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Old Point Financial appoints Cathy W. Liles as CFO

Old Point Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Old Point's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Old Point's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Old Point daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Old Point Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Old Point returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Old Point.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-2.21
Potential Upside
2.99
Standard Deviation
1.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Old Point historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Old Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Hrt Financial Llc2024-06-30
18.5 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
17.5 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-06-30
17.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
13.1 K
Mill Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
11.9 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
10.2 K
Eastern Bank2024-09-30
2.9 K
Pnc Financial Services Group Inc2024-06-30
K
Sandy Spring Bank2024-06-30
562
Pl Capital Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
720.9 K
Fj Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
278.7 K
Note, although Old Point's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Old Point Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash47.6M30.6M67.5M(168.7M)59.5M62.5M
Free Cash Flow10.6M(9.6M)21.7M16.2M10.0M5.4M
Depreciation2.5M2.5M2.4M2.4M2.6M1.9M
Other Non Cash Items164K(532K)827K2.3M2.4M2.6M
Dividends Paid2.5M2.5M2.6M2.6M2.8M2.0M
Capital Expenditures1.8M924K1.5M1.4M1.1M1.0M
Net Income7.9M5.4M8.4M9.1M7.7M5.4M
End Period Cash Flow89.9M120.4M187.9M19.3M78.8M82.7M
Investments4.4M(35.8M)(60.7M)(213.4M)(108.1M)(102.7M)
Net Borrowings(9.9M)(37.9M)(13.9M)(2.2M)(2.5M)(2.6M)
Change To Netincome2.4M(235K)(905K)1.3M1.2M980.6K

Old Point Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Old Point or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Old Point's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Old stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Old Point Volatility Alert

Old Point Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.43 and kurtosis of 2.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Old Point's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Old Point's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Old Point Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Old Point's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Old Point's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Old Point and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Old Point or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Old Point's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Old Point by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Old Point to competition
FundamentalsOld PointPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0755-0.31
Return On Asset0.0056-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation938.77 K16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.08 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders23.83 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions35.81 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.39 K4.71 M
Price To Earning16.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.79 X11.42 X
Revenue80.28 M9.43 B
Gross Profit56.24 M27.38 B
EBITDA533 K3.9 B
Net Income7.73 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents86.82 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share17.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt102.75 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity8.63 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share22.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations11.04 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.61 X3.12 X
Target Price15.0
Number Of Employees29118.84 K
Beta0.29-0.15
Market Capitalization106.25 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.45 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings82.28 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return2.10 %
Net Asset1.45 B
Note: Disposition of 1100 shares by Pl Capital Advisors, Llc of Old Point subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Old Point Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Old . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Old Point Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Old Point Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Old Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Old Point Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Old Point's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Old Point's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Old Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Old Point Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Point. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Point listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.738
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
1.61
Revenue Per Share
11.771
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.076
The market value of Old Point Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Point's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Point's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Point's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Point's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Point is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.