Firstgroup Plc Stock Market Outlook

FGROF Stock  USD 2.50  0.00  0.00%   
Roughly 62% of FirstGroup Plc's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading FirstGroup plc pink sheet suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. The current market sentiment, together with FirstGroup Plc's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use FirstGroup plc stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 38

 Alarmed

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use FirstGroup Plc's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward FirstGroup plc.
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding FirstGroup plc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides FirstGroup Plc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FGROF positions.

Execute FirstGroup Plc Advice

The FirstGroup recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FirstGroup plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FirstGroup plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FirstGroup Plc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FirstGroup PlcBuy FirstGroup Plc
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon FirstGroup plc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.16), Total Risk Alpha of (0.33) and Treynor Ratio of (0.26)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on FirstGroup plc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure FirstGroup Plc is not overpriced, please confirm all FirstGroup plc fundamentals, including its current ratio, working capital, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Please also check FirstGroup plc price to earning to verify your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

FirstGroup Plc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

FirstGroup plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FirstGroup plc has accumulated 200.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.6, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FirstGroup plc has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FirstGroup Plc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FirstGroup Plc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FirstGroup plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FirstGroup to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FirstGroup Plc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of FirstGroup Plc shares are owned by institutional investors

FirstGroup Plc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FirstGroup Plc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FirstGroup Plc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FirstGroup plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FirstGroup Plc returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for FirstGroup Plc.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
0.00
Potential Upside
0.00
Standard Deviation
2.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FirstGroup Plc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FirstGroup Plc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FirstGroup Plc or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FirstGroup Plc's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FirstGroup pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

FirstGroup Plc Volatility Alert

FirstGroup plc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -4.91 and kurtosis of 43.72. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FirstGroup Plc's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FirstGroup Plc's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

FirstGroup Plc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FirstGroup Plc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FirstGroup Plc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FirstGroup Plc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FirstGroup Plc or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FirstGroup Plc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FirstGroup Plc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FirstGroup Plc to competition
FundamentalsFirstGroup PlcPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0656-0.31
Return On Asset0.0076-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding734.54 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.05 %39.21 %
Price To Earning1.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.98 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.19 X11.42 X
Revenue2.93 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.86 B27.38 B
EBITDA875.4 M3.9 B
Net Income636.4 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents787.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.06 X5.01 X
Total Debt200.5 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.75 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations65.4 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.07 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees31.06 K18.84 K
Beta1.62-0.15
Market Capitalization1 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.83 B29.47 B
Working Capital(239.3 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.14 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.38 B7.9 B
Z Score2.48.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset3.83 B

FirstGroup Plc Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FirstGroup . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About FirstGroup Plc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FirstGroup plc? Buying financial instruments such as FirstGroup Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in FirstGroup Pink Sheet

FirstGroup Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether FirstGroup Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FirstGroup with respect to the benefits of owning FirstGroup Plc security.