Firstgroup Plc Stock Technical Analysis

FGROF Stock  USD 2.50  0.00  0.00%   
As of the 23rd of February, FirstGroup Plc shows the Mean Deviation of 0.4813, variance of 4.97, and Standard Deviation of 2.23. FirstGroup plc technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm FirstGroup plc market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and skewness to decide if FirstGroup plc is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.5 per share. Please also check FirstGroup plc information ratio, which is currently at (0.09) to verify the company can sustain itself at a future point.

FirstGroup Plc Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as FirstGroup, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstGroup
  
FirstGroup Plc's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FirstGroup Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FirstGroup Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, FirstGroup Plc's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

FirstGroup Plc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FirstGroup Plc's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FirstGroup Plc.
0.00
11/25/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/23/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in FirstGroup Plc on November 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FirstGroup plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in FirstGroup Plc over 90 days. FirstGroup Plc is related to or competes with Jungfraubahn Holding, Pacific Basin, Lonking Holdings, Wizz Air, PT Jasa, and Transcontinental. FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom and the United States More

FirstGroup Plc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FirstGroup Plc's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FirstGroup plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

FirstGroup Plc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FirstGroup Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FirstGroup Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FirstGroup Plc historical prices to predict the future FirstGroup Plc's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.162.504.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.182.524.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.122.454.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.502.502.50
Details

FirstGroup Plc February 23, 2026 Technical Indicators

FirstGroup plc Backtested Returns

FirstGroup plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0554, which denotes the company had a -0.0554 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. FirstGroup plc exposes seventeen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm FirstGroup Plc's Mean Deviation of 0.4813, standard deviation of 2.23, and Variance of 4.97 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.5, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, FirstGroup Plc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FirstGroup Plc is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, FirstGroup plc has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to confirm FirstGroup Plc's jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if FirstGroup plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  Huge  

Perfect predictability

FirstGroup plc has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FirstGroup Plc time series from 25th of November 2025 to 9th of January 2026 and 9th of January 2026 to 23rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FirstGroup plc price movement. The serial correlation of 9.223372036854776E16 indicates that 9.223372036854776E16% of current FirstGroup Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient92233.7 T
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
FirstGroup Plc technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of FirstGroup Plc technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of FirstGroup Plc trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

FirstGroup plc Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for FirstGroup plc across different markets.

About FirstGroup Plc Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of FirstGroup plc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of FirstGroup plc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on FirstGroup plc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding FirstGroup plc. By analyzing FirstGroup Plc's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of FirstGroup Plc's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to FirstGroup Plc specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

FirstGroup Plc February 23, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of FirstGroup help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FirstGroup from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze FirstGroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

FirstGroup Plc February 23, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FirstGroup stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for FirstGroup Pink Sheet analysis

When running FirstGroup Plc's price analysis, check to measure FirstGroup Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstGroup Plc is operating at the current time. Most of FirstGroup Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstGroup Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstGroup Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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