Firstgroup Plc Stock Current Valuation
| FGROF Stock | USD 2.50 0.00 0.00% |
Valuation analysis of FirstGroup plc helps investors to measure FirstGroup Plc's intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns.
Fairly Valued
Today
Please note that FirstGroup Plc's price fluctuation is relatively risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of FirstGroup plc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing FirstGroup Plc's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the FirstGroup pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of FirstGroup plc. Since FirstGroup Plc is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of FirstGroup Pink Sheet. However, FirstGroup Plc's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 2.5 | Real 2.46 | Hype 2.5 | Naive 2.48 |
The real value of FirstGroup Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of FirstGroup plc Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on FirstGroup Plc's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of FirstGroup Plc's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of FirstGroup plc helps investors to forecast how FirstGroup pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of FirstGroup Plc more accurately as focusing exclusively on FirstGroup Plc's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: FirstGroup Plc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FirstGroup Plc's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FirstGroup Plc.
| 11/23/2025 |
| 02/21/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FirstGroup Plc on November 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FirstGroup plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in FirstGroup Plc over 90 days. FirstGroup Plc is related to or competes with Jungfraubahn Holding, Pacific Basin, Lonking Holdings, Wizz Air, PT Jasa, and Transcontinental. FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom and the United States More
FirstGroup Plc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FirstGroup Plc's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FirstGroup plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.0 |
FirstGroup Plc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FirstGroup Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FirstGroup Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FirstGroup Plc historical prices to predict the future FirstGroup Plc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.13 |
FirstGroup Plc February 21, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.14 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4813 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,892) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Variance | 4.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.13 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.0 | |||
| Skewness | (4.91) | |||
| Kurtosis | 43.72 |
FirstGroup plc Backtested Returns
FirstGroup plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0554, which denotes the company had a -0.0554 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. FirstGroup plc exposes seventeen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm FirstGroup Plc's Variance of 4.97, standard deviation of 2.23, and Mean Deviation of 0.4813 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning FirstGroup Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, FirstGroup Plc is likely to outperform the market. At this point, FirstGroup plc has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to confirm FirstGroup Plc's jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if FirstGroup plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | Huge |
Perfect predictability
FirstGroup plc has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FirstGroup Plc time series from 23rd of November 2025 to 7th of January 2026 and 7th of January 2026 to 21st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FirstGroup plc price movement. The serial correlation of 9.223372036854776E16 indicates that 9.223372036854776E16% of current FirstGroup Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 92233.7 T | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
| Competition |
In accordance with the recently published financial statements, FirstGroup plc has a Current Valuation of 2.71 B. This is 62.72% lower than that of the Industrials sector and 92.39% lower than that of the Railroads industry. The current valuation for all United States stocks is 83.67% higher than that of the company.
FirstGroup Current Valuation Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses FirstGroup Plc's direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the pink sheets which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of FirstGroup Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FirstGroup Plc by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.FirstGroup Plc is currently under evaluation in current valuation category among its peers.
FirstGroup Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0656 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0076 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.71 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 734.54 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.48 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.05 % | |||
| Price To Earning | 1.63 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.98 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.19 X | |||
| Revenue | 2.93 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 2.86 B | |||
| EBITDA | 875.4 M | |||
| Net Income | 636.4 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 787.7 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 1.06 X | |||
| Total Debt | 200.5 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.60 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.01 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 65.4 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | |||
| Number Of Employees | 31.06 K | |||
| Beta | 1.62 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1 B | |||
| Total Asset | 3.83 B | |||
| Working Capital | (239.3 M) | |||
| Current Asset | 1.14 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 1.38 B | |||
| Z Score | 2.4 | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |||
| Net Asset | 3.83 B | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.02 |
About FirstGroup Plc Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze FirstGroup plc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of FirstGroup Plc using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of FirstGroup plc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Other Information on Investing in FirstGroup Pink Sheet
FirstGroup Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether FirstGroup Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FirstGroup with respect to the benefits of owning FirstGroup Plc security.