Mercurity Fintech Holding Stock Price Prediction
| MFH Stock | USD 1.41 0.02 1.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Mercurity Fintech Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mercurity Fintech shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mercurity Fintech's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mercurity Fintech and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mercurity Fintech's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mercurity Fintech Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mercurity Fintech's stock price prediction:Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.485 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mercurity Fintech based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Mercurity stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mercurity Fintech over a specific investment horizon. Using Mercurity Fintech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercurity Fintech Holding from the perspective of Mercurity Fintech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Mercurity Fintech. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mercurity Fintech to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mercurity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mercurity Fintech after-hype prediction price | USD 1.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mercurity |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercurity Fintech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mercurity Fintech After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mercurity Fintech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mercurity Fintech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mercurity Fintech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mercurity Fintech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mercurity Fintech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mercurity Fintech's historical news coverage. Mercurity Fintech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 10.08, respectively. We have considered Mercurity Fintech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mercurity Fintech is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mercurity Fintech Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mercurity Fintech Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mercurity Fintech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercurity Fintech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mercurity Fintech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 8.82 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.41 | 1.26 | 10.64 |
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Mercurity Fintech Hype Timeline
On the 27th of April Mercurity Fintech Holding is traded for 1.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Mercurity is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -10.64%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Mercurity Fintech is about 40707.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.42. About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Mercurity Fintech was now reported as 0.29. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.2. Mercurity Fintech Holding last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2020. The entity had 9:10 split on the 28th of February 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Mercurity Fintech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mercurity Fintech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mercurity Fintech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mercurity Fintech's future price movements. Getting to know how Mercurity Fintech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mercurity Fintech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WULF | Terawulf | 0.05 | 10 per month | 5.41 | 0.13 | 12.66 | (9.45) | 43.07 | |
| IREN | Iris Energy | 0.01 | 9 per month | 5.48 | 0.07 | 19.81 | (10.62) | 36.90 | |
| ARBK | Argo Blockchain PLC | 0.13 | 9 per month | 7.65 | 0.01 | 18.57 | (14.04) | 50.83 | |
| BITF | Bitfarms | (0.01) | 11 per month | 4.87 | 0.01 | 12.56 | (9.81) | 29.94 | |
| CIFR | Cipher Mining | (0.05) | 9 per month | 6.15 | 0.15 | 16.42 | (10.00) | 39.46 | |
| ARBKF | Argo Blockchain PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.66 | (0) | 16.67 | (15.00) | 51.50 |
Mercurity Fintech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mercurity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercurity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercurity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mercurity Fintech Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mercurity Fintech stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mercurity Fintech Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mercurity Fintech based on analysis of Mercurity Fintech hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mercurity Fintech's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mercurity Fintech's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 6.85 | 3.56 | 1.34 | 1.27 | Receivables Turnover | 445.89 | 24.03 | 0.0855 | 0.0813 |
Story Coverage note for Mercurity Fintech
The number of cover stories for Mercurity Fintech depends on current market conditions and Mercurity Fintech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mercurity Fintech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mercurity Fintech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mercurity Fintech Short Properties
Mercurity Fintech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mercurity Fintech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mercurity Fintech Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mercurity Fintech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercurity Fintech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 M |
Check out Mercurity Fintech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Mercurity Fintech Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mercurity Fintech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Mercurity Stock analysis
When running Mercurity Fintech's price analysis, check to measure Mercurity Fintech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercurity Fintech is operating at the current time. Most of Mercurity Fintech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercurity Fintech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercurity Fintech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercurity Fintech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mercurity Fintech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercurity Fintech. If investors know Mercurity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercurity Fintech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.20) | Revenue Per Share 0.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.485 | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (0.54) |
The market value of Mercurity Fintech Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercurity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercurity Fintech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercurity Fintech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercurity Fintech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercurity Fintech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercurity Fintech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mercurity Fintech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercurity Fintech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.