Under Armour C Stock Price Prediction
| UA Stock | USD 7.49 0.18 2.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.14 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.52 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.59 | Wall Street Target Price 9.2 |
Using Under Armour hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Under Armour C from the perspective of Under Armour response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Under Armour using Under Armour's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Under using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Under Armour's stock price.
Under Armour Implied Volatility | 233.24 |
Under Armour's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Under Armour C stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Under Armour's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Under Armour stock will not fluctuate a lot when Under Armour's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Under Armour to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Under because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Under Armour after-hype prediction price | USD 7.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Under |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Under Armour's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Under Armour After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Under Armour at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Under Armour or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Under Armour, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Under Armour Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Under Armour's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Under Armour's historical news coverage. Under Armour's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.56 and 11.04, respectively. We have considered Under Armour's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Under Armour is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Under Armour C is based on 3 months time horizon.
Under Armour Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Under Armour is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Under Armour backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Under Armour, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 3.74 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.49 | 7.30 | 0.14 |
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Under Armour Hype Timeline
As of September 19, 2024 Under Armour C is listed for 7.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Under is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Under Armour is about 5342.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.50. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.74. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Under Armour C has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.05. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.2. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Under Armour had 1.007098:1 split on the 13th of June 2016. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Under Armour Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Under Armour Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Under Armour's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Under Armour's future price movements. Getting to know how Under Armour's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Under Armour may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LEVI | Levi Strauss Co | (0.41) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.98 | (3.03) | 18.16 | |
| UAA | Under Armour A | 0.55 | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.04 | 6.25 | (4.50) | 27.88 |
Under Armour Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Under price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Under using various technical indicators. When you analyze Under charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Under Armour Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Under Armour stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Under Armour C, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Under Armour based on analysis of Under Armour hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Under Armour's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Under Armour's related companies. | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 49.11 | 43.02 | 36.54 | 51.51 | PTB Ratio | 4.53 | 4.65 | 4.61 | 4.38 |
Story Coverage note for Under Armour
The number of cover stories for Under Armour depends on current market conditions and Under Armour's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Under Armour is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Under Armour's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Under Armour Short Properties
Under Armour's future price predictability will typically decrease when Under Armour's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Under Armour C often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Under Armour's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Under Armour's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 436 M |
Complementary Tools for Under Stock analysis
When running Under Armour's price analysis, check to measure Under Armour's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Under Armour is operating at the current time. Most of Under Armour's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Under Armour's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Under Armour's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Under Armour to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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