Levi Strauss Co Stock Price Prediction
| LEVI Stock | USD 19.92 0.14 0.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.44 | Wall Street Target Price 23.28 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.11 |
Using Levi Strauss hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Levi Strauss Co from the perspective of Levi Strauss response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Levi Strauss using Levi Strauss' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Levi using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Levi Strauss' stock price.
Levi Strauss Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Levi Strauss' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Levi. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Levi Strauss stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 18.9983 | Short Percent 0.0649 | Short Ratio 4.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.6 M | 50 Day MA 18.6044 |
Levi Strauss Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Levi Strauss' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Levi. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Levi can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Levi Strauss Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Levi Strauss' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Levi Strauss.
Levi Strauss Implied Volatility | 41.96 |
Levi Strauss' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Levi Strauss Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Levi Strauss' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Levi Strauss stock will not fluctuate a lot when Levi Strauss' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Levi Strauss to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Levi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Levi Strauss after-hype prediction price | USD 19.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Levi contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Levi Strauss Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.62% per day over the life of the 2024-09-20 option contract. With Levi Strauss trading at USD 19.92, that is roughly USD 0.52 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Levi Strauss' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Levi Strauss Co options at the current volatility level of 41.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Levi |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Levi Strauss' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Levi Strauss After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Levi Strauss at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Levi Strauss or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Levi Strauss, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Levi Strauss Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Levi Strauss' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Levi Strauss' historical news coverage. Levi Strauss' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.99 and 22.41, respectively. We have considered Levi Strauss' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Levi Strauss is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Levi Strauss is based on 3 months time horizon.
Levi Strauss Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Levi Strauss is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Levi Strauss backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Levi Strauss, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.69 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.92 | 19.70 | 0.40 |
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Levi Strauss Hype Timeline
Levi Strauss is now traded for 19.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Levi is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Levi Strauss is about 395.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.80. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Levi Strauss was now reported as 4.92. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. Levi Strauss last dividend was issued on the 2nd of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Levi Strauss Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Levi Strauss Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Levi Strauss' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Levi Strauss' future price movements. Getting to know how Levi Strauss' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Levi Strauss may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SFIX | Stitch Fix | (0.17) | 11 per month | 4.04 | 0.06 | 7.76 | (6.35) | 18.73 | |
| GCO | Genesco | 0.26 | 5 per month | 3.20 | 0.05 | 6.15 | (5.88) | 21.49 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | (0.11) | 6 per month | 2.38 | 0.09 | 5.14 | (4.90) | 11.86 | |
| LVLU | Lulus Fashion Lounge | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.88 | (8.81) | 36.74 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | (6.52) | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.09 | 3.73 | (2.91) | 7.65 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | (0.32) | 8 per month | 5.12 | 0.11 | 24.62 | (9.67) | 101.62 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.97) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.94 | (4.41) | 10.08 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.80 | (3.74) | 10.51 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 0.76 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.65 | (3.77) | 17.89 | |
| CURV | Torrid Holdings | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.95 | (13.60) | 37.26 |
Levi Strauss Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Levi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Levi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Levi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Levi Strauss Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Levi Strauss stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Levi Strauss Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Levi Strauss based on analysis of Levi Strauss hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Levi Strauss's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Levi Strauss's related companies. | 2013 | 2019 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0172 | 0.031 | 0.003577 | 0.003398 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.15 | 1.0 | 1.76 | 1.85 |
Story Coverage note for Levi Strauss
The number of cover stories for Levi Strauss depends on current market conditions and Levi Strauss' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Levi Strauss is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Levi Strauss' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Levi Strauss Short Properties
Levi Strauss' future price predictability will typically decrease when Levi Strauss' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Levi Strauss Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Levi Strauss' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Levi Strauss' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 401.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 398.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Levi Stock analysis
When running Levi Strauss' price analysis, check to measure Levi Strauss' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Levi Strauss is operating at the current time. Most of Levi Strauss' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Levi Strauss' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Levi Strauss' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Levi Strauss to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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