Root Inc Stock Price Prediction
| ROOT Stock | USD 123.60 0.04 0.03% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4233 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2267 | Wall Street Target Price 145 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.371 |
Using Root hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Root Inc from the perspective of Root response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Root using Root's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Root using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Root's stock price.
Root Short Interest
An investor who is long Root may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Root and may potentially protect profits, hedge Root with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 108.8046 | Short Percent 0.1553 | Short Ratio 4.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 132.036 |
Root Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Root's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Root. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Root can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Root Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Root's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Root.
Root Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Root's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Root Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Root's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Root stock will not fluctuate a lot when Root's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Root to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Root because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Root after-hype prediction price | USD 123.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Root contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Root Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With Root trading at USD 123.6, that is roughly USD 0.085 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Root's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Root Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Root Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Root After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Root at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Root or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Root, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Root Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Root's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Root's historical news coverage. Root's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.49 and 127.07, respectively. We have considered Root's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Root is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Root Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Root Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Root is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Root backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Root, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.79 | 0.32 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
123.60 | 123.28 | 0.26 |
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Root Hype Timeline
Root Inc is at this time traded for 123.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Root is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 123.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Root is about 4042.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 123.62. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Root Inc had 1:18 split on the 15th of August 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Root Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Root Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Root's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Root's future price movements. Getting to know how Root's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Root may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | 0.17 | 11 per month | 1.20 | (0.14) | 2.26 | (1.97) | 5.28 | |
| KMPR | Kemper | (1.33) | 10 per month | 1.35 | (0.05) | 2.76 | (2.75) | 7.48 | |
| RLI | RLI Corp | 0.22 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.80 | (2.57) | 7.35 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity PLC | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.90 | (0.04) | 4.95 | (4.24) | 11.41 | |
| ARGO-PA | Argo Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.72) | 0.20 | (0.12) | 0.48 | |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance | 2.76 | 11 per month | 1.17 | (0.12) | 1.98 | (1.92) | 6.03 | |
| UFCS | United Fire Group | (0.15) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.34 | (2.97) | 7.87 | |
| SAFT | Safety Insurance Group | (0.92) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.93 | (2.09) | 6.88 |
Root Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Root price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Root using various technical indicators. When you analyze Root charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Root Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Root stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Root Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Root based on analysis of Root hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Root's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Root's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 23.4 | 23.97 | 16.26 | 16.25 | Revenue Per Share | 22.04 | 31.6 | 78.96 | 82.91 |
Story Coverage note for Root
The number of cover stories for Root depends on current market conditions and Root's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Root is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Root's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Root Short Properties
Root's future price predictability will typically decrease when Root's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Root Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Root's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Root's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.4 M |
Additional Tools for Root Stock Analysis
When running Root's price analysis, check to measure Root's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Root is operating at the current time. Most of Root's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Root's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Root's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Root to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.