Root Inc Stock Price Prediction

ROOT Stock  USD 126.81  0.71  0.56%   
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Root's share price is approaching 40 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Root, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Root's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Root Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Root's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.03
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.4033
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.19
Wall Street Target Price
133.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.371
Using Root hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Root Inc from the perspective of Root response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Root using Root's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Root using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Root's stock price.

Root Short Interest

An investor who is long Root may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Root and may potentially protect profits, hedge Root with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
107.5256
Short Percent
0.1503
Short Ratio
3.75
Shares Short Prior Month
1.4 M
50 Day MA
133.5492

Root Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Root's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Root. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Root can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Root Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Root's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Root.

Root Implied Volatility

    
  1.12  
Root's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Root Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Root's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Root stock will not fluctuate a lot when Root's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Root to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Root because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Root after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 126.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Root contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Root Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.07% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With Root trading at USD 126.81, that is roughly USD 0.0888 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Root's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Root Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Root Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.47106.29139.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
136.12139.94143.76
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
121.76133.80148.52
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.95-0.250.42
Details

Root After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Root at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Root or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Root, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Root Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Root's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Root's historical news coverage. Root's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 122.99 and 130.63, respectively. We have considered Root's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
126.81
122.99
Downside
126.81
After-hype Price
130.63
Upside
Root is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Root Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Root Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Root is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Root backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Root, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
3.85
  0.89 
  0.05 
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
126.81
126.81
0.00 
82.26  
Notes

Root Hype Timeline

Root Inc is at this time traded for 126.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.89, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Root is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 82.26%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Root is about 1408.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.76. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Root Inc had 1:18 split on the 15th of August 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Root Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Root Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Root's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Root's future price movements. Getting to know how Root's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Root may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance(1.82)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.60 (3.69) 13.82 
SIGISelective Insurance Group 1.05 9 per month 1.36 (0.14) 2.62 (2.09) 6.18 
ACICAmerican Coastal Insurance(0.07)9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.02 (3.07) 12.75 
LMNDLemonade(1.30)9 per month 3.37  0.13  6.99 (4.86) 21.29 
HRTGHeritage Insurance Hldgs 0.07 7 per month 3.09  0.02  5.07 (5.17) 31.82 
ATERAterian(0.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.1) 6.98 (4.58) 25.31 
BBIGVinco Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SDCCQSmileDirectClub 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GOCOGoHealth(0.35)10 per month 0.00 (0.20) 7.61 (7.52) 27.08 

Root Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Root price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Root using various technical indicators. When you analyze Root charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Root Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Root stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Root Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Root based on analysis of Root hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Root's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Root's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Interest Debt Per Share23.423.9716.2616.25
Revenue Per Share22.0431.678.9682.91

Story Coverage note for Root

The number of cover stories for Root depends on current market conditions and Root's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Root is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Root's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Root Short Properties

Root's future price predictability will typically decrease when Root's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Root Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Root's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Root's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments230.4 M

Additional Tools for Root Stock Analysis

When running Root's price analysis, check to measure Root's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Root is operating at the current time. Most of Root's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Root's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Root's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Root to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.