Qvc Group Stock Price Prediction
QVCGA Stock | 2.81 0.01 0.36% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using QVC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of QVC Group from the perspective of QVC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards QVC using QVC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards QVC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of QVC's stock price.
QVC Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in QVC's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards QVC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of QVC stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
Shares Short Prior Month 591.5 K | Shares Short 568.7 K |
QVC Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to QVC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in QVC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding QVC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around QVC Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of QVC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about QVC.
QVC Implied Volatility | 2.13 |
QVC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of QVC Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if QVC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that QVC stock will not fluctuate a lot when QVC's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in QVC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying QVC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
QVC after-hype prediction price | USD 2.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current QVC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that QVC Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.13% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With QVC trading at USD 2.81, that is roughly USD 0.003741 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating QVC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring QVC Group options at the current volatility level of 2.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out QVC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. QVC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of QVC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in QVC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of QVC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
QVC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting QVC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on QVC's historical news coverage. QVC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 13.77, respectively. We have considered QVC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
QVC is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of QVC Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
QVC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as QVC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading QVC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with QVC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.98 | 10.81 | 0.15 | 0.75 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.81 | 2.96 | 5.34 |
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QVC Hype Timeline
QVC Group is at this time traded for 2.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.75. QVC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 5.34%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.98%. The volatility of related hype on QVC is about 1410.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.56. QVC generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableAssuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out QVC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.QVC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to QVC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict QVC's future price movements. Getting to know how QVC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how QVC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
KTB | Kontoor Brands | 4.05 | 8 per month | 1.76 | 0.04 | 4.37 | (3.20) | 10.83 | |
GES | Guess Inc | (0.1) | 9 per month | 2.27 | 0.08 | 5.82 | (3.61) | 23.04 | |
GOOS | Canada Goose Holdings | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.23 | 6.29 | (3.01) | 24.42 | |
ZUMZ | Zumiez Inc | 0.23 | 7 per month | 3.22 | (0.03) | 5.12 | (4.87) | 20.41 | |
VSCO | Victorias Secret Co | 0.11 | 11 per month | 3.19 | 0.04 | 5.51 | (5.48) | 21.99 | |
LE | Lands End | (0.05) | 11 per month | 3.37 | 0.1 | 8.83 | (5.49) | 23.65 |
QVC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine QVC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for QVC using various technical indicators. When you analyze QVC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About QVC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of QVC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as QVC Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of QVC based on analysis of QVC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to QVC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to QVC's related companies. 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.081 | 0.053 | 0.0259 | 0.0246 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0122 | 0.0138 | 0.0154 | 0.0244 |
Story Coverage note for QVC
The number of cover stories for QVC depends on current market conditions and QVC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that QVC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about QVC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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QVC Short Properties
QVC's future price predictability will typically decrease when QVC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of QVC Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential QVC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QVC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.9 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 905 M |
Complementary Tools for QVC Stock analysis
When running QVC's price analysis, check to measure QVC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QVC is operating at the current time. Most of QVC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QVC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QVC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QVC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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