Kontoor Brands Stock Price Prediction
| KTB Stock | USD 81.91 3.08 3.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
76
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.438 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.39 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.77 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.28 | Wall Street Target Price 81.14 |
Using Kontoor Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kontoor Brands from the perspective of Kontoor Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Kontoor Brands Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kontoor Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kontoor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kontoor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kontoor Brands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kontoor Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kontoor Brands.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kontoor Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kontoor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kontoor Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 79.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kontoor |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kontoor Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kontoor Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kontoor Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kontoor Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kontoor Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kontoor Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kontoor Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kontoor Brands' historical news coverage. Kontoor Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.28 and 80.84, respectively. We have considered Kontoor Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kontoor Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kontoor Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kontoor Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kontoor Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kontoor Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kontoor Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.84 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
81.91 | 79.06 | 0.29 |
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Kontoor Brands Hype Timeline
On the 11th of October 2024 Kontoor Brands is traded for 81.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. Kontoor is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 79.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Kontoor Brands is about 189.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.26. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.61 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 230.99 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.13 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Kontoor Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kontoor Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kontoor Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kontoor Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Kontoor Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kontoor Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VNCE | Vince Holding Corp | 0.33 | 7 per month | 4.32 | 0.10 | 8.50 | (8.44) | 35.35 | |
| ZGN | Ermenegildo Zegna NV | (0.27) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.18 | (5.69) | 17.83 | |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear | (1.89) | 10 per month | 1.32 | (0.04) | 2.67 | (2.36) | 6.62 | |
| GIL | Gildan Activewear | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.66 | 0.16 | 2.32 | (1.56) | 6.08 | |
| GIII | G III Apparel Group | 0.07 | 11 per month | 2.23 | 0.05 | 3.88 | (4.17) | 26.82 | |
| OXM | Oxford Industries | 8.44 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.89 | (3.54) | 9.08 | |
| PVH | PVH Corp | (0.23) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.18 | (3.22) | 10.43 |
Kontoor Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kontoor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kontoor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kontoor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kontoor Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kontoor Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kontoor Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kontoor Brands based on analysis of Kontoor Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kontoor Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kontoor Brands's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0465 | 0.0419 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.85 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Kontoor Brands
The number of cover stories for Kontoor Brands depends on current market conditions and Kontoor Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kontoor Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kontoor Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kontoor Brands Short Properties
Kontoor Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kontoor Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kontoor Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kontoor Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kontoor Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 215.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Kontoor Stock analysis
When running Kontoor Brands' price analysis, check to measure Kontoor Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kontoor Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Kontoor Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kontoor Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kontoor Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kontoor Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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