Victorias Secret Co Stock Price Prediction
| VSCO Stock | USD 37.50 0.10 0.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
77
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.099 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.16 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.51 | Wall Street Target Price 28.2858 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.36 |
Using Victorias Secret hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Victorias Secret Co from the perspective of Victorias Secret response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Victorias Secret to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Victorias because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Victorias Secret after-hype prediction price | USD 39.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Victorias |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victorias Secret's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victorias Secret After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Victorias Secret at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Victorias Secret or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Victorias Secret, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Victorias Secret Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Victorias Secret's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Victorias Secret's historical news coverage. Victorias Secret's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.40 and 42.34, respectively. We have considered Victorias Secret's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Victorias Secret is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Victorias Secret is based on 3 months time horizon.
Victorias Secret Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Victorias Secret is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Victorias Secret backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Victorias Secret, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 2.95 | 1.94 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.50 | 39.37 | 5.27 |
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Victorias Secret Hype Timeline
Victorias Secret is at this time traded for 37.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Victorias is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 39.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 103.51%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 5.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Victorias Secret is about 3617.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.44. Victorias Secret Co currently holds about 201 M in cash with 389 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.47. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Victorias Secret Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Victorias Secret Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Victorias Secret's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Victorias Secret's future price movements. Getting to know how Victorias Secret's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Victorias Secret may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROST | Ross Stores | (1.65) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.46 | (2.62) | 6.21 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.71 | 11 per month | 6.09 | 0.14 | 24.62 | (11.60) | 107.65 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | (0.57) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.07 | 4.83 | (2.37) | 7.53 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | (0.27) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.56 | (0.24) | 19.75 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | 0.31 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.44 | (3.63) | 8.81 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | 1.23 | 10 per month | 1.96 | (0.01) | 2.37 | (2.77) | 9.11 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | (0.66) | 9 per month | 1.65 | (0.02) | 3.86 | (3.10) | 7.06 | |
| EXPR | Express | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.69 | (6.76) | 24.98 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | 0.23 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.59 | (4.39) | 9.65 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.82 | (4.98) | 17.90 | |
| GPS | Gap Inc | (0.92) | 10 per month | 2.65 | 0.03 | 6.38 | (4.61) | 36.06 | |
| FL | Foot Locker | 0.24 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.66 | (4.66) | 13.15 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.16 | (5.85) | 16.24 |
Victorias Secret Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Victorias price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Victorias using various technical indicators. When you analyze Victorias charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Victorias Secret Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Victorias Secret stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Victorias Secret Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Victorias Secret based on analysis of Victorias Secret hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Victorias Secret's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Victorias Secret's related companies. | 2010 | 2024 (projected) | null | 8.97 | 8.16 | null | 5.05 | 4.41 |
Story Coverage note for Victorias Secret
The number of cover stories for Victorias Secret depends on current market conditions and Victorias Secret's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Victorias Secret is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Victorias Secret's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Victorias Secret Short Properties
Victorias Secret's future price predictability will typically decrease when Victorias Secret's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Victorias Secret Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Victorias Secret's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Victorias Secret's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 270 M |
Check out Victorias Secret Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Victorias Secret. If investors know Victorias will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Victorias Secret listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.099 | Earnings Share 1.75 | Revenue Per Share 78.526 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0345 |
The market value of Victorias Secret is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Victorias that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Victorias Secret's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Victorias Secret's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Victorias Secret's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Victorias Secret's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Victorias Secret's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Victorias Secret is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victorias Secret's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.