Paypal Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| PYPL Stock | USD 78.03 0.15 0.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.174 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.98 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.84 | Wall Street Target Price 81.45 |
Using PayPal Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PayPal Holdings from the perspective of PayPal Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
PayPal Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PayPal Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PayPal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PayPal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PayPal Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PayPal Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PayPal Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PayPal Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PayPal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PayPal Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 78.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PayPal |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PayPal Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PayPal Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PayPal Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PayPal Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PayPal Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PayPal Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PayPal Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PayPal Holdings' historical news coverage. PayPal Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.36 and 80.84, respectively. We have considered PayPal Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PayPal Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PayPal Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
PayPal Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PayPal Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PayPal Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PayPal Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.24 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.03 | 78.60 | 0.31 |
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PayPal Holdings Hype Timeline
PayPal Holdings is at this time traded for 78.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. PayPal is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 78.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on PayPal Holdings is about 402.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.77. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 29.77 B. Net Income was 4.25 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.65 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out PayPal Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PayPal Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PayPal Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PayPal Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how PayPal Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PayPal Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AXP | American Express | (1.56) | 7 per month | 1.76 | 0.08 | 2.38 | (2.74) | 8.97 | |
| UPST | Upstart Holdings | 0.93 | 9 per month | 4.10 | 0.14 | 9.94 | (8.09) | 49.48 | |
| COF | Capital One Financial | 4.15 | 9 per month | 1.84 | 0.02 | 3.30 | (3.23) | 9.89 | |
| V | Visa Class A | (7.40) | 7 per month | 1.82 | (0.07) | 1.91 | (2.56) | 7.75 | |
| ALLY | Ally Financial | 0.53 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.62 | (3.37) | 21.66 | |
| SOFI | SoFi Technologies | 0.01 | 11 per month | 2.56 | 0.08 | 5.16 | (4.44) | 12.97 |
PayPal Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PayPal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PayPal using various technical indicators. When you analyze PayPal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About PayPal Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PayPal Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PayPal Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PayPal Holdings based on analysis of PayPal Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PayPal Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PayPal Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 601.17 | 593.58 | 688.97 | PTB Ratio | 10.19 | 4.05 | 4.98 |
Story Coverage note for PayPal Holdings
The number of cover stories for PayPal Holdings depends on current market conditions and PayPal Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PayPal Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PayPal Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PayPal Holdings Short Properties
PayPal Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when PayPal Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PayPal Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PayPal Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PayPal Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.1 B |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in PayPal Stock
When determining whether PayPal Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze PayPal Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PayPal Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PayPal Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out PayPal Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy PayPal Stock please use our How to buy in PayPal Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PayPal Holdings. If investors know PayPal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PayPal Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.174 | Earnings Share 4.12 | Revenue Per Share 29.012 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 | Return On Assets 0.0419 |
The market value of PayPal Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PayPal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PayPal Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PayPal Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PayPal Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PayPal Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PayPal Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PayPal Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PayPal Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.