Mastercard Stock Price Prediction

MA Stock  USD 520.86  5.76  1.12%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mastercard's the stock price is about 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mastercard, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mastercard's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mastercard, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mastercard's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.041
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.69
EPS Estimate Current Year
14.4833
EPS Estimate Next Year
16.3477
Wall Street Target Price
557.1767
Using Mastercard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mastercard from the perspective of Mastercard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Mastercard Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Mastercard's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mastercard. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mastercard can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mastercard. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mastercard's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mastercard.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mastercard to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mastercard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mastercard after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 521.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mastercard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Mastercard Stock refer to our How to Trade Mastercard Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
486.91487.89572.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
516.69517.67518.64
Details
39 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
389.44427.96475.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.543.713.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mastercard. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mastercard's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mastercard's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mastercard.

Mastercard After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mastercard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mastercard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mastercard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mastercard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mastercard's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mastercard's historical news coverage. Mastercard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 520.45 and 522.41, respectively. We have considered Mastercard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
520.86
520.45
Downside
521.43
After-hype Price
522.41
Upside
Mastercard is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mastercard is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mastercard Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mastercard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mastercard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mastercard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
0.98
  0.57 
  0.10 
7 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
520.86
521.43
0.11 
29.17  
Notes

Mastercard Hype Timeline

As of November 23, 2024 Mastercard is listed for 520.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Mastercard is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 521.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 29.17%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Mastercard is about 168.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 520.76. The company generated the yearly revenue of 25.1 B. Reported Net Income was 11.2 B with gross profit of 22.24 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Mastercard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Mastercard Stock refer to our How to Trade Mastercard Stock guide.

Mastercard Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mastercard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mastercard's future price movements. Getting to know how Mastercard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mastercard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Mastercard Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mastercard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mastercard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mastercard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mastercard Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mastercard stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mastercard, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mastercard based on analysis of Mastercard hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mastercard's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mastercard's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0049040.0056540.005360.003296
Price To Sales Ratio18.815.1416.0416.84

Story Coverage note for Mastercard

The number of cover stories for Mastercard depends on current market conditions and Mastercard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mastercard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mastercard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Mastercard Short Properties

Mastercard's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mastercard's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mastercard often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mastercard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mastercard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding946 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.2 B

Complementary Tools for Mastercard Stock analysis

When running Mastercard's price analysis, check to measure Mastercard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mastercard is operating at the current time. Most of Mastercard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mastercard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mastercard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mastercard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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