Ofg Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| OFG Stock | USD 43.25 1.27 2.85% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.065 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4133 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.57 | Wall Street Target Price 50 |
Using OFG Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OFG Bancorp from the perspective of OFG Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OFG Bancorp using OFG Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OFG using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OFG Bancorp's stock price.
OFG Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in OFG Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards OFG. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of OFG Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 41.9101 | Short Percent 0.0338 | Short Ratio 4.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 42.7036 |
OFG Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to OFG Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OFG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OFG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OFG Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OFG Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OFG Bancorp.
OFG Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
OFG Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OFG Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OFG Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OFG Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when OFG Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OFG Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OFG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OFG Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 44.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OFG contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OFG Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With OFG Bancorp trading at USD 43.25, that is roughly USD 0.0192 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OFG Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring OFG Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out OFG Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. OFG Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OFG Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OFG Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OFG Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OFG Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OFG Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OFG Bancorp's historical news coverage. OFG Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.76 and 45.64, respectively. We have considered OFG Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OFG Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OFG Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
OFG Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OFG Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OFG Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OFG Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.44 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
43.25 | 44.20 | 0.29 |
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OFG Bancorp Hype Timeline
On the 24th of July OFG Bancorp is traded for 43.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. OFG is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on OFG Bancorp is about 219.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.08. The company reported the last year's revenue of 822.77 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 198.17 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 619.47 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out OFG Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OFG Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OFG Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OFG Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how OFG Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OFG Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FBP | First Bancorp | 0.10 | 10 per month | 1.10 | 0.03 | 3.47 | (2.32) | 8.41 | |
| FRAF | Franklin Financial Services | (1.70) | 8 per month | 0.58 | 0.01 | 2.93 | (1.56) | 7.34 | |
| NBHC | National Bank Holdings | 0.46 | 7 per month | 1.51 | 0.0006 | 2.78 | (2.48) | 8.68 | |
| BWFG | Bankwell Financial Group | 0.25 | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.11 | 2.82 | (1.96) | 8.78 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 1.88 | (2.10) | 5.91 | |
| NBTB | NBT Bancorp | (0.28) | 10 per month | 1.22 | (0.06) | 2.68 | (1.56) | 8.42 | |
| BPOP | Popular | (3.60) | 10 per month | 0.63 | 0.18 | 2.96 | (1.43) | 9.58 | |
| STBA | ST Bancorp | (0.29) | 7 per month | 1.04 | (0.02) | 3.03 | (1.95) | 6.82 |
OFG Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OFG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OFG using various technical indicators. When you analyze OFG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OFG Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OFG Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OFG Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OFG Bancorp based on analysis of OFG Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OFG Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OFG Bancorp's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0227 | 0.0232 | 0.0231 | 0.027 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.21 | 2.43 | 2.4 | 1.29 |
Story Coverage note for OFG Bancorp
The number of cover stories for OFG Bancorp depends on current market conditions and OFG Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OFG Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OFG Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OFG Bancorp Short Properties
OFG Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when OFG Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OFG Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OFG Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OFG Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Complementary Tools for OFG Stock analysis
When running OFG Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure OFG Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OFG Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of OFG Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OFG Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OFG Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OFG Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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