Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock Market Value
| BAFN Stock | USD 15.80 0.64 3.89% |
| Symbol | Bayfirst |
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. If investors know Bayfirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bayfirst Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bayfirst Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bayfirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bayfirst Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bayfirst Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bayfirst Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bayfirst Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bayfirst Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bayfirst Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bayfirst Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Bayfirst Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bayfirst Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bayfirst Financial.
| 04/12/2025 |
| 05/12/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Bayfirst Financial on April 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bayfirst Financial Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bayfirst Financial over 30 days. Bayfirst Financial is related to or competes with Home Federal, LINKBANCORP, Affinity Bancshares, BayCom Corp, Community West, Northeast Community, and Southern California. BayFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for First Home Bank that provides commercial and consumer ... More
Bayfirst Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bayfirst Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bayfirst Financial Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.0203 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.68 |
Bayfirst Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bayfirst Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bayfirst Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bayfirst Financial historical prices to predict the future Bayfirst Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2141 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1458 |
Bayfirst Financial Corp Backtested Returns
Bayfirst Financial Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bayfirst Financial Corp exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bayfirst Financial's Standard Deviation of 3.55, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 2.53 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bayfirst Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bayfirst Financial is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Bayfirst Financial Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0117%. Please make sure to confirm Bayfirst Financial's accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the day typical price and relative strength index , to decide if Bayfirst Financial Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.92 |
Excellent predictability
Bayfirst Financial Corp has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bayfirst Financial time series from 12th of April 2025 to 27th of April 2025 and 27th of April 2025 to 12th of May 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bayfirst Financial Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.92 indicates that approximately 92.0% of current Bayfirst Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.92 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.92 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.31 |
Bayfirst Financial Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Bayfirst Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bayfirst Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bayfirst Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bayfirst Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Bayfirst Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bayfirst Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bayfirst Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bayfirst Financial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Bayfirst Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating Bayfirst Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bayfirst Financial stock have on its future price. Bayfirst Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bayfirst Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bayfirst Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bayfirst Financial Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
When determining whether Bayfirst Financial Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bayfirst Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock:
Check out Bayfirst Financial Correlation, Bayfirst Financial Volatility and Bayfirst Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bayfirst Financial. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Bayfirst Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.