Unitil Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UTL Stock  USD 59.15  0.23  0.39%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding UNITIL is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of UNITIL's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out UNITIL Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy UNITIL Stock please use our How to buy in UNITIL Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as UNITIL and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. UNITIL. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute UNITIL Buy or Sell Advice

The UNITIL recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on UNITIL. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in UNITIL or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute UNITIL's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell UNITILBuy UNITIL
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon UNITIL has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0243, Jensen Alpha of (0.09), Total Risk Alpha of (0.18), Sortino Ratio of (0.05) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0258
Our recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on UNITIL. Our recommendation engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure UNITIL is not overpriced, please validate all UNITIL fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that UNITIL has a price to earning of 24.53 X, we advise you to double-check UNITIL market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

UNITIL Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

UNITIL has 681.6 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.19, which is OK given its current industry classification. UNITIL has a current ratio of 0.88, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for UNITIL to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 80.0% of UNITIL outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Unitil Corporation Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

UNITIL Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of UNITIL's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of UNITIL's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of UNITIL daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use UNITIL price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of UNITIL returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for UNITIL.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-2.15
Potential Upside
2.35
Standard Deviation
1.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of UNITIL historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

UNITIL Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-06-30
270.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
216.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
206.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
166.7 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
148.3 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
136 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
127.1 K
Foundry Partners, Llc2024-06-30
112.6 K
Sei Investments Co2024-06-30
102.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
1.3 M
Note, although UNITIL's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

UNITIL Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory2.6M(1.6M)(8.8M)16.5M19.0M19.9M
Change In Cash(2.6M)800K500K2.5M(2.5M)(2.4M)
Free Cash Flow(14.3M)(46.9M)(7.2M)(24.4M)(34M)(32.3M)
Other Non Cash Items(5.3M)(5M)(4.8M)(11.3M)(13M)(12.4M)
Dividends Paid22.1M22.6M23.6M25.1M26.2M14.8M
Capital Expenditures119.2M122.6M115M122.1M141M148.1M
Net Income44.2M32.2M36.1M41.4M45.2M47.5M
End Period Cash Flow7.8M5.2M6M6.5M9M6.7M
Change To Netincome10.3M(4M)11.7M6M10.5M8.0M
Depreciation52M54.5M59.5M62.6M67.4M48.5M
Change Receivables(1.7M)11.7M(6.9M)(4.9M)(7.9M)(7.5M)
Net Borrowings21.3M70.4M(16.5M)41.5M47.7M24.9M
Investments(105.8M)(122.6M)(115M)(122.1M)(133M)(139.7M)

UNITIL Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to UNITIL or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that UNITIL's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UNITIL stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

UNITIL Volatility Alert

UNITIL has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.28 and kurtosis of 5.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure UNITIL's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact UNITIL's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

UNITIL Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing UNITIL's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze UNITIL's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between UNITIL and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as UNITIL or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of UNITIL's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UNITIL by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare UNITIL to competition
FundamentalsUNITILPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0957-0.31
Return On Asset0.0342-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.66 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.19 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions80.37 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted189.09 K4.71 M
Price To Earning24.53 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.93 X11.42 X
Revenue557.1 M9.43 B
Gross Profit169 M27.38 B
EBITDA160.7 M3.9 B
Net Income45.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents9 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt681.6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.19 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.90 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share31.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations107 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.18 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.93 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.23 X4.89 X
Target Price58.0
Number Of Employees54118.84 K
Beta0.6-0.15
Market Capitalization957.59 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.67 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings151.5 M9.33 B
Working Capital(100.2 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Awad Neveen F of 1582 shares of UNITIL at 60.02 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

UNITIL Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as UNITIL . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About UNITIL Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell UNITIL? Buying financial instruments such as UNITIL Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having UNITIL in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Latest Losers Thematic Idea Now

Latest Losers
Latest Losers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Losers theme has 0 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Losers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether UNITIL is a strong investment it is important to analyze UNITIL's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact UNITIL's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding UNITIL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out UNITIL Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy UNITIL Stock please use our How to buy in UNITIL Stock guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UNITIL. If investors know UNITIL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UNITIL listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.017
Dividend Share
1.68
Earnings Share
2.93
Revenue Per Share
30.825
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
The market value of UNITIL is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UNITIL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UNITIL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UNITIL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UNITIL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UNITIL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UNITIL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UNITIL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UNITIL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.