Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TAK Stock  USD 13.86  0.24  1.76%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Takeda Pharmaceutical Co is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Takeda Pharmaceutical's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Takeda Pharmaceutical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Takeda and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Takeda Pharmaceutical Buy or Sell Advice

The Takeda recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Takeda Pharmaceutical Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Takeda Pharmaceutical's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Takeda PharmaceuticalBuy Takeda Pharmaceutical
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Takeda Pharmaceutical Co has a Mean Deviation of 0.6606, Standard Deviation of 0.8791 and Variance of 0.7728
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Takeda Pharmaceutical and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Takeda Pharmaceutical is not overpriced, please validate all Takeda Pharmaceutical fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Takeda Pharmaceutical has a price to earning of 27.57 X, we advise you to double-check Takeda Pharmaceutical Co market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Takeda Pharmaceutical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Takeda Pharmaceutical has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from medcitynews.com: Roche Expands Its Scope in Allogeneic Cell Therapy With 1B Poseida Therapeutics Acquisition

Takeda Pharmaceutical Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Takeda Pharmaceutical's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Takeda Pharmaceutical's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Takeda Pharmaceutical daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Takeda Pharmaceutical Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Takeda Pharmaceutical returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Takeda Pharmaceutical.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-1.91
Potential Upside
1.21
Standard Deviation
0.88
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Takeda Pharmaceutical historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Takeda Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.6 M
Managed Asset Portfolios, Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.4 M
Causeway Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Wells Fargo & Co2024-09-30
978 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
867.1 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
603.8 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
542.8 K
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
13.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
5.4 M
Note, although Takeda Pharmaceutical's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory137.5B26.0B(46.1B)(79.2B)(115.7B)(110.0B)
Change In Cash(65.1B)328.6B(116.5B)(316.2B)(75.7B)(71.9B)
Free Cash Flow452.0B774.5B937.1B343.5B235.6B295.4B
Depreciation583.6B559.7B583.2B664.4B728.0B764.4B
Other Non Cash Items23.1B(228.4B)95.4B(97.7B)120.8B126.9B
Dividends Paid282.6B283.4B283.7B279.4B287.2B158.3B
Capital Expenditures217.7B236.5B186.0B633.7B480.7B504.8B
Net Income44.3B376.2B230.2B317.0B144.1B217.6B
End Period Cash Flow637.6B966.2B849.7B533.5B457.8B626.2B
Investments292.1B62.0B(198.1B)(607.1B)(463.9B)(487.1B)
Net Borrowings(586.1B)(660.5B)(600.5B)(285.1B)(256.6B)(243.7B)
Change To Netincome(75.3B)(200.5B)169.9B21.0B24.2B25.4B

Takeda Pharmaceutical Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Takeda Pharmaceutical or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Takeda Pharmaceutical's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Takeda stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Takeda Pharmaceutical Volatility Alert

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.92 and kurtosis of 1.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Takeda Pharmaceutical's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Takeda Pharmaceutical's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Takeda Pharmaceutical's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Takeda Pharmaceutical's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Takeda Pharmaceutical and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Takeda Pharmaceutical or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Takeda Pharmaceutical's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Takeda Pharmaceutical by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Takeda Pharmaceutical to competition
FundamentalsTakeda PharmaceuticalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0415-0.31
Return On Asset0.0278-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation70.22 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.17 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.01 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.66 M4.71 M
Price To Earning27.57 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.01 X11.42 X
Revenue4.26 T9.43 B
Gross Profit2.44 T27.38 B
EBITDA900.33 B3.9 B
Net Income144.07 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents533.53 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share208.91 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.46 T5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.81 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.18 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4,366 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations716.34 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.60 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.70 X4.89 X
Target Price2471.44
Number Of Employees49.28 K18.84 K
Beta0.46-0.15
Market Capitalization43.18 B19.03 B
Total Asset15.11 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.39 T9.33 B
Working Capital245.48 B1.48 B

Takeda Pharmaceutical Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Takeda . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Takeda Pharmaceutical Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Takeda Pharmaceutical Co? Buying financial instruments such as Takeda Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Takeda Pharmaceutical in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Hedge Favorites Theme
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When determining whether Takeda Pharmaceutical is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Takeda Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Stock:
Check out Takeda Pharmaceutical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Takeda Pharmaceutical. If investors know Takeda will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Takeda Pharmaceutical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.049
Dividend Share
192
Earnings Share
0.6
Revenue Per Share
1.4 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.127
The market value of Takeda Pharmaceutical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Takeda that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Takeda Pharmaceutical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Takeda Pharmaceutical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Takeda Pharmaceutical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Takeda Pharmaceutical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Takeda Pharmaceutical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Takeda Pharmaceutical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Takeda Pharmaceutical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.