Orange County Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OBT Stock | USD 63.61 0.19 0.30% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Orange County Bancorp is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Orange County Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Orange County. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Orange County Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Orange County Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orange and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Orange County Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Orange |
Execute Orange County Buy or Sell Advice
The Orange recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orange County Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orange County Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orange County's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Orange County Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Orange County had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Orange County has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 16th of September 2024 Orange County paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 360 shares by Rooney Stephen of Orange County at 62.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Orange County Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Orange County's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orange County's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orange County daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orange County Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orange County returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orange County.
| Mean Return | 0.33 | Value At Risk | -5.33 | Potential Upside | 7.58 | Standard Deviation | 3.49 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orange County historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Orange Stock Institutional Investors
The Orange County's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Orange County's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 22.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 21.3 K | Keybank National Association | 2024-06-30 | 17.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 16 K | Eagle Ridge Investment Management | 2024-09-30 | 14.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 13.9 K | Northcrest Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 13 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-06-30 | 12.8 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 12.1 K | Hudson Valley Investment Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 602.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 327.3 K |
Orange County Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 6.7M | 96.1M | 184.9M | (220.1M) | 61.3M | 64.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 11.9M | 10.7M | 18.4M | 28.9M | 41.0M | 43.0M | |
| Depreciation | 1.5M | 1.6M | 1.7M | 1.7M | 2.0M | 1.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.2M | 3.4M | (1.9M) | 6.7M | 5.1M | 2.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.6M | 3.6M | 4.0M | 4.7M | (5.2M) | (4.9M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.9M | 692K | 2.0M | 1.5M | 3.5M | 3.7M | |
| Net Income | 11.1M | 11.7M | 21.3M | 24.4M | 29.5M | 31.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 25.1M | 121.2M | 306.2M | 86.1M | 147.4M | 74.1M | |
| Investments | 3.7M | (71.0M) | (291.3M) | (215.2M) | (122.1M) | (128.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 15.4M | (30.6M) | 14.3M | 57.0M | 65.6M | 68.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.8M | 3.7M | (1.8M) | 9.2M | 8.3M | 8.7M |
Orange County Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orange County or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orange County's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orange stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Orange County Volatility Alert
Orange County Bancorp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orange County's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orange County's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Orange County Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Orange County's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orange County's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orange County and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orange County or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orange County's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orange County by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Orange County to competition |
| Fundamentals | Orange County | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0116 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.29 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 361.63 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.67 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.83 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 44.48 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 38.22 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.55 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.86 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.68 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 131.19 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 80.57 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 286 K | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 29.48 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 180.25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 31.95 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 257.24 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.42 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.12 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 34.03 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 44.5 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.94 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.12 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 65.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 197 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.46 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 360.93 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.49 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 107.36 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3.74 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 14.9 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Rouis Jonathan F of tradable shares of Orange County subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Orange County Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orange . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Orange County Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Orange County Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Orange Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Orange County in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Apparel Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Orange Stock Analysis
When running Orange County's price analysis, check to measure Orange County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orange County is operating at the current time. Most of Orange County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orange County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orange County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orange County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.