Is Orange County Stock a Good Investment?
Orange County Investment Advice | OBT |
- Examine Orange County's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Orange County's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Orange County navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Regional Banks space and any emerging trends that could impact Orange County's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Orange County's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Orange County is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Orange County pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Orange County's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Orange County Bancorp stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Orange County Bancorp is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Orange County Stock
Researching Orange County's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orange County Bancorp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of September 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of February 2018.
To determine if Orange County is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Orange County's research are outlined below:
| Orange County had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Orange County has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 16th of September 2024 Orange County paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 360 shares by Rooney Stephen of Orange County at 62.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Orange County Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity |
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Orange County uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Orange County Bancorp. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Orange County's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 31st of January 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 6th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 31st of January 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Orange County's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Orange County's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-07-27 | 2020-06-30 | 0.54 | 0.61 | 0.07 | 12 | ||
2022-01-26 | 2021-12-31 | 0.82 | 0.97 | 0.15 | 18 | ||
2021-08-12 | 2021-06-30 | 0.94 | 1.16 | 0.22 | 23 | ||
2021-10-25 | 2021-09-30 | 0.79 | 1.06 | 0.27 | 34 | ||
2023-10-25 | 2023-09-30 | 1.33 | 1.61 | 0.28 | 21 | ||
2024-05-01 | 2024-03-31 | 1.35 | 1.65 | 0.3 | 22 | ||
2022-10-25 | 2022-09-30 | 1.06 | 1.4 | 0.34 | 32 | ||
2021-05-03 | 2021-03-31 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 0.36 | 47 |
Know Orange County's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Orange County is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orange County Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Orange County's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Orange County's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 22.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 21.3 K | Keybank National Association | 2024-06-30 | 17.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 16 K | Eagle Ridge Investment Management | 2024-09-30 | 14.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 13.9 K | Northcrest Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 13 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-06-30 | 12.8 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 12.1 K | Hudson Valley Investment Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 602.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 327.3 K |
Orange County's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 360.93 M.Market Cap |
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Orange County's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | 0.19 |
Determining Orange County's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Orange County is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Orange County's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Orange County's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Orange County's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Orange County Bancorp. Check Orange County's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Orange County's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Orange County's management efficiency
Orange County Bancorp has Return on Asset of 0.0116 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0116 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1712 %, implying that it generated $0.1712 on every 100 dollars invested. Orange County's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Orange County manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is likely to gain to 0.19 in 2024, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.01 in 2024. At this time, Orange County's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to gain to about 309.8 M in 2024, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 1.7 B in 2024.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 29.38 | 27.91 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 28.23 | 26.82 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 1.6 K | 1.6 K | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.05 | 2.15 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 1.6 K | 1.6 K | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.05 | 2.15 | |
| Enterprise Value | 412.4 M | 433 M |
Orange County's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Dividend Yield 0.0146 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0146 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.92 | Beta 0.456 |
Basic technical analysis of Orange Stock
As of the 13th of November 2024, Orange County holds the Semi Deviation of 2.87, risk adjusted performance of 0.0802, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1062.8. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Orange County, as well as the relationship between them.Orange County's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Orange County insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Orange County's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Orange County insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Orange County's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Orange County issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Orange County Bancorp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Orange bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Orange County Bancorp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
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Understand Orange County's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Orange County's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0802 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1261 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1062.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Variance | 12.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0457 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0495 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1161 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.05 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.69) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5368 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8478 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0802 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1261 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1062.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Variance | 12.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0457 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0495 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1161 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.05 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.69) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5368 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8478 |
Consider Orange County's intraday indicators
Orange County intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Orange County stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Orange County Corporate Filings
F4 | 12th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 30th of October 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 18th of October 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F3 | 9th of October 2024 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
Orange Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Orange County that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Orange media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Orange internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Orange data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Orange County news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Orange County relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Orange County's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Orange County alpha.
Orange County Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Orange County can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Orange County Corporate Management
| Michael Listner | Senior Officer | Profile | |
| Robert Peacock | Sr CFO | Profile | |
| Michael Lesler | Controller VP | Profile | |
| Michael Coulter | Executive Executive | Profile | |
| Jacob Rahiman | Senior Officer | Profile | |
| Gregory Sousa | Executive Officer | Profile |
Additional Tools for Orange Stock Analysis
When running Orange County's price analysis, check to measure Orange County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orange County is operating at the current time. Most of Orange County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orange County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orange County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orange County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.