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Nextcure Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NXTC Stock  USD 5.04  0.15  3.07%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NextCure is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides NextCure buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NextCure positions. Check out NextCure Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade NextCure Stock refer to our How to Trade NextCure Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NextCure and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards NextCure. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute NextCure Buy or Sell Advice

The NextCure recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NextCure. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NextCure or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NextCure's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NextCureBuy NextCure
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon NextCure has a Mean Deviation of 4.47, Standard Deviation of 6.68 and Variance of 44.61
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on NextCure. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure NextCure is not overpriced, please verify all NextCure fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that NextCure has a price to book of 0.24 X, we recommend you to check NextCure market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NextCure Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

NextCure had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
NextCure has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (55.65 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (54.2 M).
NextCure currently holds about 185.49 M in cash with (40.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
NextCure has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: NextCure Price Target Cut to 15.00 by Analysts at Piper Sandler

NextCure current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. NextCure analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. NextCure analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

NextCure Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NextCure's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NextCure's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NextCure daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NextCure price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NextCure returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NextCure.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-10.21
Potential Upside
11.82
Standard Deviation
6.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NextCure historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NextCure Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Federated Hermes Inc2025-03-31
315.2 K
Bml Capital Management Llc2025-03-31
273.5 K
Cardiff Park Advisors, Llc2025-03-31
262 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-03-31
236.2 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2025-03-31
150 K
Sio Capital Management, Llc2025-03-31
130 K
Adar1 Capital Management Llc2025-03-31
120 K
Armistice Capital, Llc2025-03-31
104 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-03-31
90.6 K
Sofinnova Ventures2025-03-31
2.7 M
Affinity Asset Advisors, Llc2025-03-31
2.3 M
Note, although NextCure's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NextCure Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments50.7M39.0M68.0M39.6M55.3M58.1M
Change In Cash(2.8M)(23.9M)14.3M(13.5M)14.6M15.4M
Net Borrowings(400K)4.5M(1.5M)(3.5M)(3.1M)(3.0M)
Free Cash Flow(52.1M)(59.6M)(56.0M)(53.8M)(41.3M)(43.3M)
Depreciation3.4M7.2M4.1M3.7M2.9M3.6M
Other Non Cash Items12.7M23.7M3.5M(183K)1.1M1.1M
Capital Expenditures7.1M2.4M2.1M820K474K450.3K
Net Income(36.6M)(69.4M)(74.7M)(62.7M)(55.7M)(58.4M)
End Period Cash Flow36.3M12.4M26.6M13.1M27.7M30.0M
Change To Netincome1.9M7.9M10.3M9.6M11.0M11.6M

NextCure Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NextCure or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NextCure's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NextCure stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0042
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
6.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

NextCure Volatility Alert

NextCure is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NextCure's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NextCure's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NextCure Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NextCure's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NextCure's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NextCure and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NextCure or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NextCure's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NextCure by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NextCure to competition
FundamentalsNextCurePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.64-0.31
Return On Asset-0.36-0.14
Current Valuation(37.67 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.68 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions41.35 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted27.79 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(25.44) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales9.52 X11.42 X
Gross Profit(54.2 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(52.79 M)3.9 B
Net Income(55.65 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents185.49 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.95 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio33.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share23.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(40.8 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.91 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(21.24) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.03 X4.89 X
Target Price25.5
Number Of Employees4318.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization13.09 M19.03 B
Total Asset80.86 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(380.14 M)9.33 B
Working Capital62.23 M1.48 B
Current Asset46.99 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities5.53 M7.9 B
Net Asset80.86 M
Note: Acquisition by Richman Michael of 305500 shares of NextCure at 0.8048 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

NextCure Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NextCure . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NextCure Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NextCure? Buying financial instruments such as NextCure Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NextCure in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Aluminum Thematic Idea Now

Aluminum
Aluminum Theme
Companies involved in production of aluminum. The Aluminum theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aluminum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether NextCure offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NextCure's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nextcure Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nextcure Stock:
Check out NextCure Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade NextCure Stock refer to our How to Trade NextCure Stock guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NextCure. If investors know NextCure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NextCure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(21.24)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(1.00)
Return On Assets
(0.36)
Return On Equity
(0.64)
The market value of NextCure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NextCure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NextCure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NextCure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NextCure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NextCure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NextCure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NextCure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NextCure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.