Mcdonalds Stock Market Outlook
| MCD Stock | USD 327.16 3.68 1.14% |
About 53% of McDonalds' investor base is interested to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in McDonalds suggests that many traders are, at the present time, impartial. The current market sentiment, together with McDonalds' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use McDonalds stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 47
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use McDonalds' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward McDonalds.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding McDonalds is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides McDonalds buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MCD positions.
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Execute McDonalds Advice
The McDonalds recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on McDonalds. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in McDonalds or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute McDonalds' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon McDonalds has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1283, Jensen Alpha of 0.1182, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0504, Sortino Ratio of 0.0776 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3402Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on McDonalds to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on McDonalds. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure McDonalds is not overpriced, please verify all McDonalds fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and cash and equivalents . Given that McDonalds has a price to sales of 8.89 X, we recommend you to check McDonalds market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for the next few years given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.
McDonalds Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| McDonalds has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of December 2025 McDonalds paid $ 1.86 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: 60 Great Breakfast, Brunch, and Weekend Lunch Spots From Our 100 Best Restaurants List |
McDonalds Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of McDonalds' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of McDonalds' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of McDonalds daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use McDonalds price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of McDonalds returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for McDonalds.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -1.49 | Potential Upside | 2.16 | Standard Deviation | 1.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of McDonalds historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
McDonalds Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 7.8 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2025-06-30 | 7.2 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2025-06-30 | 6.9 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2025-06-30 | 6.9 M | Laurel Wealth Advisors, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 5.7 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 5.4 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-06-30 | 5.4 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 5 M | Soundwatch Capital Llc | 2025-06-30 | 4.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 71.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 51.9 M |
McDonalds Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (62.2M) | 5.6M | 16.7M | 71M | 81.7M | 85.7M | |
| Change In Cash | 1.3B | (2.1B) | 2.0B | (3.5B) | (3.1B) | (3.0B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 7.1B | 5.5B | 7.3B | 6.7B | 7.7B | 8.1B | |
| Depreciation | 1.9B | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.1B | 2.4B | 1.3B | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.9B | 4.2B | (4.5B) | (4.9B) | (5.6B) | (5.3B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.0B | 1.9B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 3.2B | 2.3B | |
| Net Income | 7.5B | 6.2B | 8.5B | 8.2B | 9.5B | 9.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.7B | 2.6B | 4.6B | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.8B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (436.9M) | 162.3M | (216M) | (33M) | (29.7M) | (28.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 180.3M | (4.6M) | (720.3M) | (16.7M) | (15.0M) | (14.3M) | |
| Investments | (2.2B) | (2.7B) | (3.4B) | (5.3B) | (4.8B) | (4.6B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.1B) | 1.2B | 3.0B | (71M) | (81.7M) | (77.6M) |
McDonalds Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to McDonalds or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that McDonalds' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a McDonalds stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
McDonalds Volatility Alert
McDonalds has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.34, Maximum Drawdown of 4.64 and kurtosis of -0.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure McDonalds' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact McDonalds' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.McDonalds Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing McDonalds' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze McDonalds' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between McDonalds and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as McDonalds or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of McDonalds' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing McDonalds by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare McDonalds to competition |
| Fundamentals | McDonalds | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.32 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.47 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 283.77 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 712.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.22 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 75.08 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.73 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 39.39 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.89 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 25.92 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 15.08 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 13.95 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.22 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.08 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.86 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 51.95 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.65 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (3.04) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.45 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.49 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 11.84 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.87 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 334.84 | |
| Number Of Employees | 150 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.53 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 233.46 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 55.18 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 66.83 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 738 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 9.64 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 2.95 B | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 1054 shares by Tiffanie Boyd of McDonalds subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
McDonalds Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as McDonalds . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 43194.57 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5879 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 324.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 325.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.63 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.68 |
McDonalds Target Price Consensus
McDonalds target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. McDonalds' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 36 | Buy |
Most McDonalds analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand McDonalds stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of McDonalds, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationMcDonalds Target Price Projection
McDonalds' current and average target prices are 327.16 and 334.84, respectively. The current price of McDonalds is the price at which McDonalds is currently trading. On the other hand, McDonalds' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
McDonalds Market Quote on 7th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On McDonalds Target Price
McDonalds Analyst Ratings
McDonalds' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about McDonalds stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of McDonalds' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. McDonalds' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About McDonalds Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell McDonalds? Buying financial instruments such as McDonalds Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out McDonalds Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade McDonalds Stock refer to our How to Trade McDonalds Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could McDonalds diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. Expected growth trajectory for McDonalds significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every McDonalds data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.016 | Dividend Share 7.08 | Earnings Share 11.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
Understanding McDonalds requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects McDonalds's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what McDonalds' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push McDonalds' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that McDonalds' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether McDonalds represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, McDonalds' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.