Li Auto Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LI Stock  USD 22.72  0.49  2.20%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Li Auto is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Li Auto's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Li Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Li Auto Stock please use our How to Invest in Li Auto guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Li Auto and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Li Auto. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Li Auto Buy or Sell Advice

The Li Auto recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Li Auto. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Li Auto or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Li Auto's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Li AutoBuy Li Auto
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Li Auto has a Mean Deviation of 3.69, Semi Deviation of 5.01, Standard Deviation of 5.1, Variance of 26.02, Downside Variance of 28.13 and Semi Variance of 25.1
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Li Auto. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available right now. To make sure Li Auto is not overpriced, please verify all Li Auto fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Li Auto has a price to book of 2.62 X, we recommend you to check Li Auto market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Li Auto Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Li Auto had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Li Auto is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Li Auto has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from aol.com: I missed you very much Chinas social media darling returns

Li Auto Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Li Auto's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Li Auto's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Li Auto daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Li Auto price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Li Auto returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Li Auto.
Mean Return
0.39
Value At Risk
-7.65
Potential Upside
10.62
Standard Deviation
5.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Li Auto historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Li Auto Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
1.6 M
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-06-30
1.6 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
1.5 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
1.5 M
Bnp Paribas Investment Partners Sa2024-06-30
1.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.1 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-06-30
M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
874.9 K
Lazard Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
815.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
8.2 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
7.7 M
Note, although Li Auto's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Li Auto Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(510.5M)(516.9M)(611.6M)(5.9B)(1.2M)(1.3M)
Investments(2.6B)(18.7B)(4.3B)(4.4B)(12.1K)(12.7K)
Change In Cash1.3B8.7B20.3B9.9B50.9M48.4M
Free Cash Flow(2.7B)2.5B4.9B2.3B44.2M42.0M
Depreciation116.4M321.0M590.4M1.2B1.8M1.7M
Other Non Cash Items661.3M(202.9M)185.5M12.1B(11.7B)(11.1B)
Capital Expenditures952.9M675.2M3.4B5.1B6.5M6.2M
Net Income(2.4B)(166.0M)(321.5M)(2.0B)11.7B12.3B
End Period Cash Flow1.4B10.2B30.5B40.4B91.3M86.8M
Change To Netincome682.0M(97.4M)8.5B9.4B10.8B11.3B

Li Auto Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Li Auto or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Li Auto's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Li Auto stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
5.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Li Auto Volatility Alert

Li Auto exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Li Auto's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Li Auto's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Li Auto Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Li Auto's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Li Auto's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Li Auto and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Li Auto or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Li Auto's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Li Auto by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Li Auto to competition
FundamentalsLi AutoPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0289-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.31 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding883.1 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions9.57 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted27.67 M4.71 M
Price To Book2.62 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.17 X11.42 X
Revenue123.85 B9.43 B
Gross Profit8.79 B27.38 B
EBITDA9.21 B3.9 B
Net Income11.7 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents50.44 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share52.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt13.55 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.25 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share66.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations50.69 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.33 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.38 X4.89 X
Target Price218.96
Number Of Employees31.59 K18.84 K
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization23.87 B19.03 B
Total Asset143.47 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.44 B9.33 B
Working Capital41.78 B1.48 B
Net Asset143.47 B

Li Auto Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Li Auto . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Li Auto Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Li Auto? Buying financial instruments such as Li Auto Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Li Auto in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Single Stock ETFs
Single Stock ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Single Stock ETFs theme has 96 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Single Stock ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Li Auto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Li Auto Stock please use our How to Invest in Li Auto guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Li Auto. If investors know Li Auto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Li Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Earnings Share
1.33
Revenue Per Share
142.771
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.236
Return On Assets
0.0289
The market value of Li Auto is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Li Auto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Li Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Li Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Li Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Li Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Li Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Li Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Li Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.