Kinsale Capital Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| KNSL Stock | USD 499.95 0.68 0.14% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Kinsale Capital Group is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Kinsale Capital's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Kinsale Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kinsale and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Kinsale Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Kinsale |
Execute Kinsale Capital Buy or Sell Advice
The Kinsale recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kinsale Capital Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kinsale Capital Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kinsale Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Kinsale Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Kinsale Capital Group currently holds 183.85 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Kinsale Capital Group has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Kinsale Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Kinsale Capital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of Kinsale Capital shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Marriott International, Inc. Insider William P. Brown Sells 1,707 Shares of Stock |
Kinsale Capital Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Kinsale Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kinsale Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kinsale Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kinsale Capital Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kinsale Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kinsale Capital.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -2.97 | Potential Upside | 2.57 | Standard Deviation | 1.95 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kinsale Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Kinsale Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Royal London Asset Management Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 342.1 K | Riverbridge Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 327.2 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 310.9 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 265.2 K | Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 261.3 K | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 257.9 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 248.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 241.4 K | Copeland Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 231.3 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2 M |
Kinsale Capital Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 74.9M | 141.5M | 237.7M | 317.1M | 364.7M | 382.9M | |
| Change In Cash | 25.3M | (23.3M) | 43.9M | 35.2M | (29.6M) | (28.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 158.7M | 247.1M | 401.1M | 550.9M | 853.2M | 895.9M | |
| Depreciation | 682K | 1.6M | 2.3M | 2.7M | 3.3M | 3.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (12.7M) | (20.4M) | (25.6M) | 26.9M | (21.1M) | (20.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 19.6M | 32.9M | 5.9M | 6.9M | 6.6M | 7.5M | |
| Net Income | 63.3M | 88.4M | 152.7M | 159.1M | 308.1M | 323.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 100.4M | 77.1M | 121.0M | 156.3M | 126.7M | 85.4M | |
| Investments | (202.7M) | (317.2M) | (325.8M) | (695.2M) | (805.1M) | (764.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 16.7M | 25.7M | 155M | 152.6M | 175.5M | 184.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.9M | 8.1M | 10.0M | 11.9M | 13.0M | 7.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.3M | 658K | 1.4M | (8.7M) | (7.8M) | (7.4M) | |
| Change Receivables | (24.4M) | (39.3M) | (59.1M) | (132.4M) | (119.1M) | (113.2M) |
Kinsale Capital Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kinsale Capital or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kinsale Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kinsale stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Kinsale Capital Volatility Alert
Kinsale Capital Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.03 and Jensen Alpha of -0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kinsale Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kinsale Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Kinsale Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Kinsale Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kinsale Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kinsale Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kinsale Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kinsale Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kinsale Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Kinsale Capital to competition |
| Fundamentals | Kinsale Capital | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0789 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.35 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.7 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 23.29 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.32 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 87.97 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 569.74 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 60.48 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.10 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.62 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.22 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 155.87 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 397.59 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 308.09 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 131.66 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.75 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 183.85 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.07 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 61.62 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 859.84 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.89 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 17.52 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.77 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 465.88 | |
| Number Of Employees | 561 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.63 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.77 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 828.25 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 80.3 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 440 shares by Frederick Russell of Kinsale Capital at 497.85 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Kinsale Capital Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kinsale . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Kinsale Capital Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Kinsale Capital Group? Buying financial instruments such as Kinsale Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Kinsale Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kinsale Capital. If investors know Kinsale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kinsale Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.503 | Dividend Share 0.59 | Earnings Share 17.52 | Revenue Per Share 65.998 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.33 |
The market value of Kinsale Capital Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kinsale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kinsale Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kinsale Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kinsale Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kinsale Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinsale Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kinsale Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinsale Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.