Bilibili Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BILI Stock | USD 19.73 0.36 1.86% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Bilibili is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Bilibili's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Bilibili Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Bilibili Stock please use our How to Invest in Bilibili guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bilibili and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Bilibili. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Bilibili |
Execute Bilibili Buy or Sell Advice
The Bilibili recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bilibili. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bilibili or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bilibili's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Bilibili Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Bilibili is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bilibili appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 22.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.81 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.85 B. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Bilibili Rises on Share Buyback and Positive Outlook |
Bilibili Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Bilibili's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bilibili's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bilibili daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bilibili price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bilibili returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bilibili.
| Mean Return | 0.56 | Value At Risk | -8.8 | Potential Upside | 14.33 | Standard Deviation | 6.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bilibili historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Bilibili Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Squarepoint Ops Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1 M | Yiheng Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 6.3 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.9 M |
Bilibili Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (318.8M) | 353.6M | (1.1B) | 637.9M | 733.6M | 770.3M | |
| Investments | (4.0B) | (8.9B) | (24.6B) | 10.6B | 1.8B | 1.9B | |
| Change In Cash | 1.4B | (284.6M) | 2.8B | 2.7B | (2.9B) | (2.8B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.4B) | (1.5B) | (6.3B) | (6.6B) | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | |
| Depreciation | 1.2B | 1.8B | 2.6B | 3.6B | 2.9B | 1.6B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (69.8M) | 87.2M | 588.9M | 178.1M | 622.2M | 653.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.6B | 2.2B | 3.7B | 2.7B | 1.3B | 1.7B | |
| Net Income | (1.3B) | (3.0B) | (6.8B) | (7.5B) | (4.8B) | (4.6B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.0B | 4.7B | 7.5B | 10.2B | 7.2B | 4.9B | |
| Change To Netincome | 83.2M | 440.4M | 1.5B | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.4B |
Bilibili Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bilibili or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bilibili's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bilibili stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Bilibili Volatility Alert
Bilibili is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bilibili's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bilibili's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Bilibili Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Bilibili's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bilibili's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bilibili and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bilibili or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bilibili's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bilibili by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Bilibili to competition |
| Fundamentals | Bilibili | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.072 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.17) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.1) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.66 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 332.02 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 21.25 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 16.66 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (34.17) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.43 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.34 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 22.53 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.85 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (1.67 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (4.81 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 24.92 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 63.12 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 7.64 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.34 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 34.92 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 266.62 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.67 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.90) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (169.43) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 23.23 | |
| Number Of Employees | 8.14 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.26 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 33.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (26.31 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 623.34 M | 1.48 B |
Bilibili Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bilibili . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Bilibili Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Bilibili? Buying financial instruments such as Bilibili Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Bilibili in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Disruptive Technologies Thematic Idea Now
Disruptive Technologies
New or established technology companies and funds across multiple sectors that are involved in development or marketing of products or services that experience disruptive trends and that are at the forefront of discussions on Wall Street. The Disruptive Technologies theme has 64 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Disruptive Technologies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Bilibili Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Bilibili Stock please use our How to Invest in Bilibili guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bilibili. If investors know Bilibili will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bilibili listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.90) | Revenue Per Share 57.688 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.155 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.27) |
The market value of Bilibili is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bilibili that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bilibili's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bilibili's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bilibili's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bilibili's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bilibili's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bilibili is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bilibili's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.