Bilibili Stock Market Value

BILI Stock  USD 22.64  0.23  1.03%   
Bilibili's market value is the price at which a share of Bilibili trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bilibili investors about its performance. Bilibili is trading at 22.64 as of the 12th of October 2024. This is a 1.03 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 22.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bilibili and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bilibili over a given investment horizon. Check out Bilibili Correlation, Bilibili Volatility and Bilibili Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bilibili.
For more detail on how to invest in Bilibili Stock please use our How to Invest in Bilibili guide.
Symbol

Bilibili Price To Book Ratio

Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bilibili. If investors know Bilibili will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bilibili listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.36)
Revenue Per Share
57.688
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.155
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.27)
The market value of Bilibili is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bilibili that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bilibili's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bilibili's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bilibili's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bilibili's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bilibili's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bilibili is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bilibili's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bilibili 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bilibili's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bilibili.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
10/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bilibili on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bilibili or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bilibili over 30 days. Bilibili is related to or competes with Electronic Arts, Take Two, SohuCom, Skillz Platform, NetEase, Roblox Corp, and Nintendo. Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services for the young generations in the Peoples Republic of China More

Bilibili Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bilibili's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bilibili upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bilibili Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bilibili's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bilibili's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bilibili historical prices to predict the future Bilibili's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bilibili's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2922.7028.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0920.5025.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.5319.9425.35
Details
34 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.4921.4223.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bilibili. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bilibili's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bilibili's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bilibili.

Bilibili Backtested Returns

Bilibili appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Bilibili secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Bilibili's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.69% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Bilibili's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0878, downside deviation of 4.58, and Mean Deviation of 3.79 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Bilibili holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.91, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Bilibili returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bilibili is expected to follow. Please check Bilibili's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Bilibili's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.58  

Good reverse predictability

Bilibili has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bilibili time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of September 2024 and 27th of September 2024 to 12th of October 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bilibili price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Bilibili price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.82

Bilibili lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bilibili stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bilibili's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bilibili returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bilibili has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bilibili regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bilibili stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bilibili stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bilibili stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bilibili Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bilibili's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bilibili stock have on its future price. Bilibili autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bilibili autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bilibili stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bilibili.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Bilibili offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bilibili's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bilibili Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bilibili Stock:
Check out Bilibili Correlation, Bilibili Volatility and Bilibili Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bilibili.
For more detail on how to invest in Bilibili Stock please use our How to Invest in Bilibili guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Bilibili technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bilibili technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bilibili trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...