Alamo Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALG Stock | USD 199.95 2.06 1.04% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alamo Group is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Alamo buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alamo positions.
Check out Alamo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alamo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alamo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Alamo |
Execute Alamo Buy or Sell Advice
The Alamo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alamo Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alamo Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alamo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Alamo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alamo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of October 2024 Alamo paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell Jeffery Leonard Sells Shares of Alamo Group Inc |
Alamo Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alamo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alamo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alamo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alamo Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alamo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alamo.
| Mean Return | 0.15 | Value At Risk | -2.4 | Potential Upside | 2.41 | Standard Deviation | 2.08 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alamo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alamo Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Hhg Plc | 2024-06-30 | 174.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 155.4 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 154.1 K | Fayez Sarofim & Company | 2024-09-30 | 146.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 134.4 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-06-30 | 125.3 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 110.6 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 106.8 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 96.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | Longview Management Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M |
Alamo Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 657K | 39.9M | (78.5M) | (37.7M) | (10.8M) | (10.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 8.3M | 7.9M | (8.1M) | 4.9M | 4.9M | 5.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 57.4M | 166.5M | 24.4M | (16.8M) | 93.4M | 98.1M | |
| Depreciation | 30.0M | 43.8M | 44.5M | 46.7M | 48.0M | 50.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (42K) | 400K | (2.6M) | 930K | (5.7M) | (5.4M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.6M | 6.1M | 6.6M | 8.5M | 10.5M | 11.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 31.4M | 17.9M | 25.3M | 31.3M | 37.7M | 39.6M | |
| Net Income | 62.9M | 56.6M | 80.2M | 101.9M | 136.2M | 143.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 42.3M | 50.2M | 42.1M | 47.0M | 51.9M | 54.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 6.2M | 2.6M | 1.5M | 3.5M | 4.0M | 2.9M | |
| Change Receivables | 11.4M | 28.1M | (27.6M) | (85.1M) | (76.5M) | (72.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 357.1M | (158.9M) | (16.1M) | 33.0M | 37.9M | 25.0M | |
| Investments | (429.9M) | (14.2M) | (33.4M) | (31.7M) | (30.7M) | (32.3M) |
Alamo Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alamo or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alamo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alamo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Alamo Volatility Alert
Alamo Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.04 and kurtosis of 9.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alamo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alamo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alamo Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alamo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alamo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alamo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alamo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alamo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alamo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alamo to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alamo | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0746 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.47 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 12.06 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.40 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.25 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 417.79 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.28 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.35 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.44 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.69 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 376.52 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 249.19 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 136.16 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 47.02 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.34 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 251.88 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.53 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.95 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 85.30 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 131.15 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.28 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 9.93 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.89 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 215.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.35 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.08 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.39 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.41 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 852.86 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 590.03 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1000 shares by Jeffery Leonard of Alamo at 204.095 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alamo Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alamo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alamo Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alamo Group? Buying financial instruments such as Alamo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Alamo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Services Thematic Idea Now
Services
Companies involved in delivering services to business or consumers across different industries and sectors. The Services theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Alamo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamo. If investors know Alamo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alamo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 9.93 | Revenue Per Share 138.895 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Alamo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alamo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alamo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alamo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alamo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.