QVC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| QVCGA Stock | 0.17 0.01 6.25% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of QVC Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83. QVC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast QVC stock prices and determine the direction of QVC Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of QVC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At present, QVC's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.14, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.95. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 430.9 M. QVC Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of QVC Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QVC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QVC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
QVC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest QVC | QVC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
QVC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting QVC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QVC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.61, respectively. We have considered QVC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QVC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QVC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0034 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0139 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0589 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.8341 |
Predictive Modules for QVC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QVC Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for QVC
For every potential investor in QVC, whether a beginner or expert, QVC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QVC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QVC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QVC's price trends.QVC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QVC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QVC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QVC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
QVC Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of QVC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of QVC's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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QVC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QVC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QVC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QVC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QVC Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 220942.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
QVC Risk Indicators
The analysis of QVC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QVC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qvc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.24 | |||
| Variance | 52.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether QVC Group is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if QVC Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Qvc Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Qvc Group Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QVC to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of QVC. If investors know QVC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about QVC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of QVC Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of QVC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of QVC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is QVC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because QVC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect QVC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between QVC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if QVC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, QVC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.