FNB Corp Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FNB Stock | USD 16.65 0.05 0.30% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.42. FNB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FNB Corp stock prices and determine the direction of FNB Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FNB Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
FNB |
FNB Corp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of November 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FNB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FNB Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FNB Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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FNB Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FNB Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FNB Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.13 and 19.19, respectively. We have considered FNB Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FNB Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FNB Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0414 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.4232 |
Predictive Modules for FNB Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FNB Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for FNB Corp
For every potential investor in FNB, whether a beginner or expert, FNB Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FNB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FNB Corp's price trends.View FNB Corp Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FNB Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FNB Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FNB Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FNB Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FNB Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FNB Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FNB Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FNB Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 39073.13 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.04 |
FNB Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of FNB Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FNB Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fnb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether FNB Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FNB Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fnb Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fnb Corp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FNB Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade FNB Stock refer to our How to Trade FNB Stock guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FNB Corp. If investors know FNB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FNB Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of FNB Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FNB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FNB Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FNB Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FNB Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FNB Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FNB Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FNB Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FNB Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.