AMCON Distributing Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for AMCON Distributing is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

AMCON Distributing 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of November 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AMCON Distributing on the next trading day is expected to be 126.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.51, mean absolute percentage error of 19.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 199.89.

AMCON Distributing Stock Forecast Pattern

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AMCON Distributing Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AMCON Distributing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AMCON Distributing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of AMCON Distributing. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for AMCON Distributing and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for AMCON Distributing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMCON Distributing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 131.62 134.46 137.30 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 131.75 134.59 137.43 Details

Other Forecasting Options for AMCON Distributing

For every potential investor in AMCON, whether a beginner or expert, AMCON Distributing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AMCON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AMCON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AMCON Distributing's price trends.

AMCON Distributing Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

AMCON Distributing Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AMCON Distributing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AMCON Distributing's current price.

AMCON Distributing Market Strength Events

AMCON Distributing Risk Indicators

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