Amcon Distributing Stock Price Prediction
| DIT Stock | USD 121.03 8.01 6.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.092 |
Using AMCON Distributing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMCON Distributing from the perspective of AMCON Distributing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMCON Distributing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMCON because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AMCON Distributing after-hype prediction price | USD 120.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AMCON |
AMCON Distributing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMCON Distributing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMCON Distributing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMCON Distributing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AMCON Distributing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMCON Distributing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMCON Distributing's historical news coverage. AMCON Distributing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 116.74 and 124.12, respectively. We have considered AMCON Distributing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMCON Distributing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMCON Distributing is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMCON Distributing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMCON Distributing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMCON Distributing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMCON Distributing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 3.69 | 0.60 | 0.07 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
121.03 | 120.43 | 0.50 |
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AMCON Distributing Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November AMCON Distributing is traded for 121.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. AMCON is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 120.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 123.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on AMCON Distributing is about 1000.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 120.96. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMCON Distributing recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2024. The firm had 1:6 split on the 17th of May 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out AMCON Distributing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AMCON Distributing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMCON Distributing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMCON Distributing's future price movements. Getting to know how AMCON Distributing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMCON Distributing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| M | Macys Inc | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.32 | (2.84) | 12.89 | |
| W | Wayfair | (0.65) | 10 per month | 3.62 | (0.01) | 5.74 | (5.23) | 18.38 | |
| DIBS | 1StdibsCom | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.28 | (3.99) | 12.87 | |
| AN | AutoNation | (1.94) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.73 | (3.00) | 8.95 | |
| BQ | Boqii Holding Limited | 0.01 | 1 per month | 6.25 | 0.10 | 17.39 | (14.08) | 50.04 | |
| FL | Foot Locker | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.83 | (4.66) | 13.15 | |
| HD | Home Depot | (2.28) | 7 per month | 0.97 | 0.04 | 1.76 | (1.67) | 5.73 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.84) | 9 per month | 3.20 | 0.08 | 6.76 | (6.99) | 23.41 | |
| LB | LandBridge Company LLC | 2.52 | 8 per month | 3.60 | 0.20 | 7.78 | (7.11) | 23.83 |
AMCON Distributing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMCON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMCON using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMCON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AMCON Distributing Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AMCON Distributing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMCON Distributing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMCON Distributing based on analysis of AMCON Distributing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMCON Distributing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMCON Distributing's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.28 | 1.16 | 0.78 | 1.01 | Dividend Yield | 0.0289 | 0.0294 | 0.007246 | 0.006884 |
Story Coverage note for AMCON Distributing
The number of cover stories for AMCON Distributing depends on current market conditions and AMCON Distributing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMCON Distributing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMCON Distributing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AMCON Distributing Short Properties
AMCON Distributing's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMCON Distributing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMCON Distributing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMCON Distributing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMCON Distributing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 606.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 672.8 B |
Additional Tools for AMCON Stock Analysis
When running AMCON Distributing's price analysis, check to measure AMCON Distributing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMCON Distributing is operating at the current time. Most of AMCON Distributing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMCON Distributing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMCON Distributing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMCON Distributing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.