Advanced Drainage Valuation

WMS Stock  USD 111.75  0.83  0.74%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Advanced Drainage Systems shows a prevailing Real Value of $95.05 per share. The current price of the firm is $111.75. Our model approximates the value of Advanced Drainage Systems from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 9.79 B, profit margin of 0.15 %, and Return On Equity of 0.33 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
111.75
Please note that Advanced Drainage's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Advanced Drainage Systems is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Advanced Drainage's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Advanced stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Advanced Drainage Systems. Since Advanced Drainage is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Advanced Stock. However, Advanced Drainage's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  111.75 Real  95.05 Hype  111.75 Naive  107.5
The intrinsic value of Advanced Drainage's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Advanced Drainage's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
95.05
Real Value
122.93
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Advanced Drainage Systems helps investors to forecast how Advanced stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Advanced Drainage more accurately as focusing exclusively on Advanced Drainage's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.58116.02123.47
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.48111.75114.02
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.410.410.42
Details

Advanced Drainage Total Value Analysis

Advanced Drainage Systems is at this time expected to have company total value of 9.79 B with market capitalization of 8.74 B, debt of 1.43 B, and cash on hands of 463.7 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Advanced Drainage fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
9.79 B
8.74 B
1.43 B
463.7 M

Advanced Drainage Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. Advanced Drainage Systems recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.76. The entity had 3:2 split on the June 15, 2007. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Advanced Drainage's historical financial statements, Advanced Drainage Systems is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in August.

Advanced Drainage Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Advanced Drainage has an asset utilization ratio of 78.7 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.79 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Advanced Drainage Systems is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Advanced Drainage Ownership Allocation

Advanced Drainage holds a total of 77.64 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Advanced Drainage Systems outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Advanced Drainage Systems to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Advanced Drainage. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Advanced Drainage Systems as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly two million seven hundred one thousand eight hundred ninety-six invesors are currently shorting Advanced Drainage expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Advanced Drainage Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.9 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 452.57 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.1 B.

Advanced Drainage Past Distributions to stockholders

About Advanced Drainage Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Advanced Drainage's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Advanced Drainage Systems based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Advanced Drainage. We calculate exposure to Advanced Drainage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Advanced Drainage's related companies.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products, and drainage solutions for use in the underground construction and infrastructure marketplace in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Hilliard, Ohio. Advanced Drainage operates under Building Products Equipment classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5635 people.
Advanced Drainage's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Advanced Drainage's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Advanced Drainage can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Advanced Drainage represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Advanced, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Advanced Drainage Dividends Analysis For Valuation

There are various types of dividends Advanced Drainage can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Advanced shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Advanced Drainage Systems directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Advanced pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Advanced Drainage by the value of the dividends paid out.

Advanced Drainage Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Advanced Drainage does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.179
Forward Price Earnings20.0401

Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis

When running Advanced Drainage's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Drainage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Drainage is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Drainage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Drainage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Drainage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Drainage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.