Orange County Bancorp Stock Analysis

OBT Stock  USD 57.04  1.46  2.50%   
Orange County Bancorp is overvalued with Real Value of 47.75 and Target Price of 48.5. The main objective of Orange County stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Orange County Bancorp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Orange County's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Orange County stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Orange County is usually not traded on Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday. Orange Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Orange County Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Orange Stock Analysis Notes

About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orange County Bancorp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of September 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of February 2018. Orange County Bancorp, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services, and trust and wealth management services to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and affluent individuals. Orange County Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Middletown, New York. Orange County is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Orange County Bancorp contact Michael Gilfeather at 845 341 5000 or learn more at https://www.orangebanktrust.com.

Orange County Quarterly Total Revenue

36.32 Million

Orange County Bancorp Investment Alerts

Orange County had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Orange County has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 16th of September 2024 Orange County paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Orange County Bancorp Inc Stock Price Down 3.4 percent on Sep 23

Orange County Bancorp Upcoming and Recent Events

31st of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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6th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Orange Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Orange County's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-07-27
2020-06-300.540.610.0712 
2022-01-26
2021-12-310.820.970.1518 
2021-08-12
2021-06-300.941.160.2223 
View All Earnings Estimates

Orange County Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Orange County's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Orange County's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Orange County's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Orange County's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Orange Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
22.7 K
Keybank National Association2024-06-30
17.5 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
16 K
Eagle Ridge Investment Management2024-06-30
14.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
13.9 K
Northcrest Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
13 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-06-30
12.8 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
12.1 K
Coombe, Bender & Co Llc2024-06-30
11.2 K
Hudson Valley Investment Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
598.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
327.3 K
Note, although Orange County's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orange Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 331.32 M.

Orange Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.34 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.41 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.41 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.19 

Management Efficiency

Orange County Bancorp has Return on Asset of 0.0139 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0139 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2129 %, implying that it generated $0.2129 on every 100 dollars invested. Orange County's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Orange County manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is likely to gain to 0.19 in 2024, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.01 in 2024. At this time, Orange County's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to gain to about 309.8 M in 2024, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 1.7 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 29.38  27.91 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 28.23  26.82 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA1.6 K1.6 K
Price Book Value Ratio 2.05  2.15 
Enterprise Value Multiple1.6 K1.6 K
Price Fair Value 2.05  2.15 
Enterprise Value412.4 M433 M
The analysis of Orange County's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Orange County's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Orange Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0157
Operating Margin
0.4141
Profit Margin
0.3367
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0157
Beta
0.437

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of September, Orange County holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0889, semi deviation of 3.5, and Coefficient Of Variation of 996.13. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Orange County, as well as the relationship between them.

Orange County Bancorp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Orange County middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Orange County Bancorp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Orange County Bancorp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Orange County insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Orange County's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Orange County insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Orange County Outstanding Bonds

Orange County issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Orange County Bancorp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Orange bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Orange County Bancorp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Orange County Predictive Daily Indicators

Orange County intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Orange County stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Orange County Corporate Filings

F4
18th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
16th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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10Q
12th of August 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
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8K
31st of July 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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12th of July 2024
Other Reports
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F4
3rd of July 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
28th of June 2024
Other Reports
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8K
21st of June 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Orange County Forecast Models

Orange County's time-series forecasting models are one of many Orange County's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Orange County's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Orange Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Orange County prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Orange shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Orange County. By using and applying Orange Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Orange entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.28  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Profit Margin 0.22  0.15 

Current Orange Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Orange analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Orange analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
48.5Strong Buy2Odds
Orange County Bancorp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Orange analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Orange stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Orange County Bancorp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Orange conference calls.
Orange Analyst Advice Details

Orange Stock Analysis Indicators

Orange County Bancorp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Orange County stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Orange County shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Orange County stock analysis, traders can identify Orange County position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow86.1 M
Long Term Debt29.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity165.4 M
Tax Provision7.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.098
Property Plant And Equipment Net19.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-147.4 M
Cash147.4 M
Net Debt109.9 M
50 Day M A57.0348
Total Current LiabilitiesB
Other Operating Expenses94 M
Non Current Assets Total2.3 B
Non Currrent Assets Other2.3 B
Stock Based Compensation871 K

Additional Tools for Orange Stock Analysis

When running Orange County's price analysis, check to measure Orange County's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orange County is operating at the current time. Most of Orange County's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orange County's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orange County's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orange County to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.