Novavax Stock Analysis

NVAX Stock  USD 7.00  0.04  0.57%   
Novavax is undervalued with Real Value of 8.78 and Target Price of 15.29. The main objective of Novavax stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Novavax is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Novavax's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Novavax stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Novavax is usually not traded on Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day. Novavax Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Novavax. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more information on how to buy Novavax Stock please use our How to Invest in Novavax guide.

Novavax Stock Analysis Notes

About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of May 2019. Novavax had 1:20 split on the 10th of May 2019. Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases and address health needs. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland. Novavax operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1541 people. To find out more about Novavax contact Stanley Erck at 240 268 2000 or learn more at https://www.novavax.com.

Novavax Investment Alerts

Novavax had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Novavax has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 682.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (187.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 732.56 M.
Novavax currently holds about 1.28 B in cash with (87.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Novavax has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Is Trending Stock Novavax, Inc. a Buy Now

Novavax Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Novavax to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Novavax Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Novavax's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-08-10
2020-06-30-0.42-0.30.1228 
2019-11-07
2019-09-30-0.98-1.11-0.1313 
2012-11-02
2012-09-30-0.87-1.0-0.1314 
View All Earnings Estimates

Novavax Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Novavax's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Novavax's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Novavax's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Novavax's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Novavax Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Deep Track Capital, Lp2025-03-31
1.5 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-03-31
1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-03-31
1.4 M
Tsp Capital Management Group/llc2025-03-31
1.4 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-03-31
1.3 M
Bank Of America Corp2025-03-31
1.2 M
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2025-03-31
977.5 K
Sg Americas Securities, Llc2025-03-31
935.8 K
Millennium Management Llc2025-03-31
861.4 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-03-31
15.7 M
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
13 M
Note, although Novavax's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Novavax Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.13 B.

Novavax Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.38 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.77 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.77.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.13)(0.14)
Return On Capital Employed(0.61)(0.64)
Return On Assets(0.12)(0.13)
Return On Equity 0.30  0.29 

Management Efficiency

Novavax has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1997 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1997 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (8.982) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Novavax's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Novavax manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.14 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.64 in 2025. At this time, Novavax's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is likely to rise to about 453 M in 2025, whereas Other Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 57 M in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(4.10)(3.89)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(4.81)(4.57)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(8.55)(8.98)
Price Book Value Ratio(1.96)(1.86)
Enterprise Value Multiple(8.55)(8.98)
Price Fair Value(1.96)(1.86)
Enterprise Value831.4 M873 M
Evaluating the management effectiveness of Novavax allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The Novavax Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Operating Margin
0.774
Profit Margin
0.3814
Beta
2.771
Return On Assets
0.1997
Return On Equity
(8.98)

Technical Drivers

As of the 20th of July, Novavax secures the Downside Deviation of 3.91, mean deviation of 3.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0552. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Novavax, as well as the relationship between them.

Novavax Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Novavax for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Novavax short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Novavax Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Novavax insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Novavax's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Novavax insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Novavax Outstanding Bonds

Novavax issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Novavax uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Novavax bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Novavax has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Novavax Predictive Daily Indicators

Novavax intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Novavax stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Novavax Corporate Filings

8K
24th of June 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
16th of June 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
13th of June 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
11th of June 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
27th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
19th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
8th of May 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
5th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Novavax Forecast Models

Novavax's time-series forecasting models are one of many Novavax's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Novavax's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Novavax Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Novavax prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Novavax shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Novavax. By using and applying Novavax Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Novavax entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.26)(0.27)
Operating Profit Margin(0.36)(0.38)
Net Loss(0.27)(0.29)
Gross Profit Margin 0.70  0.74 

Current Novavax Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Novavax analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Novavax analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
15.29Buy7Odds
Novavax current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Novavax analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Novavax stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Novavax, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Novavax conference calls.
Novavax Analyst Advice Details

Novavax Stock Analysis Indicators

Novavax stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Novavax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Novavax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Novavax stock analysis, traders can identify Novavax position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow583.8 M
Long Term Debt169.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity-623.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-204 M
Tax Provision10.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.709
Property Plant And Equipment Net300 M
Cash And Short Term Investments923.1 M
Cash530.2 M
Accounts Payable41.6 M
Net Debt-299.8 M
50 Day M A6.84
Total Current Liabilities1.2 B
Other Operating Expenses931.1 M
Non Current Assets Total431.5 M
Forward Price Earnings7.8555
Non Currrent Assets Other24 M
Stock Based Compensation48.2 M

Additional Tools for Novavax Stock Analysis

When running Novavax's price analysis, check to measure Novavax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novavax is operating at the current time. Most of Novavax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novavax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novavax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novavax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.