Novavax Stock Performance

NVAX Stock  USD 7.64  0.20  2.55%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Novavax holds a performance score of 5. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.78, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Novavax will likely underperform. Please check Novavax's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Novavax's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Novavax are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Novavax showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.55)
Five Day Return
8.06
Year To Date Return
(10.85)
Ten Year Return
(96.71)
All Time Return
(90.45)
Last Split Factor
1:20
Dividend Date
2019-05-10
Last Split Date
2019-05-10
1
Moderna Secures FDA Nod for Next-Gen COVID-19 Vaccine mNexspike
06/03/2025
2
Acquisition by Alton Gregg H of 3420 shares of Novavax at 4.9 subject to Rule 16b-3
06/05/2025
3
Novavaxs COVID-Flu Combo Shot Shows Strong Immune Response
06/12/2025
4
Factbox-Vaccines and antibodies up for debate at CDC advisory panel meeting
06/25/2025
5
Top FDA official rejects COVID-19 vaccines
07/02/2025
6
Novavax Dips More Than Broader Market What You Should Know
07/07/2025
7
Medical Groups Sue RFK Jr. For Assault On Science Over Unlawful COVID-19 Vaccine Rollbacks
07/08/2025
8
Citi Initiates Coverage of Novavax With a Sell Rating
07/10/2025
9
Is Trending Stock Novavax, Inc. a Buy Now
07/14/2025
10
Sanofi Extends Respiratory Vaccines Reach With 1.15B Acquisition of Clinical-Stage Vicebio
07/22/2025
11
Novavax Stock Slides as Market Rises Facts to Know Before You Trade
07/24/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow583.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-204 M

Novavax Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  671.00  in Novavax on April 26, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  93.00  from holding Novavax or generate 13.86% return on investment over 90 days. Novavax is currently generating 0.3062% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.3978% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 39% of stocks are less volatile than Novavax, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Novavax is expected to generate 5.59 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.22 per unit of risk.

Novavax Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Novavax's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Novavax, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Novavax's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0696

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small ReturnsNVAX
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative Returns

Estimated Market Risk

 4.4
  actual daily
39
61% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.31
  actual daily
6
94% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.07
  actual daily
5
95% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Novavax is performing at about 5% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Novavax by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Novavax Fundamentals Growth

Novavax Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Novavax, and Novavax fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Novavax Stock performance.

About Novavax Performance

Evaluating Novavax's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Novavax has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Novavax has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 15.75  16.54 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.13)(0.14)
Return On Capital Employed(0.61)(0.64)
Return On Assets(0.12)(0.13)
Return On Equity 0.30  0.29 

Things to note about Novavax performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Novavax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Novavax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Novavax had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Novavax has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 682.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (187.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 732.56 M.
Novavax currently holds about 1.28 B in cash with (87.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Novavax Stock Slides as Market Rises Facts to Know Before You Trade
Evaluating Novavax's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Novavax's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Novavax's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Novavax's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Novavax's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Novavax's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Novavax's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Novavax's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Novavax's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Novavax's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Novavax's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Novavax Stock Analysis

When running Novavax's price analysis, check to measure Novavax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novavax is operating at the current time. Most of Novavax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novavax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novavax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novavax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.