Napco Security Technologies Stock Analysis

NSSC Stock  USD 37.04  0.70  1.85%   
NAPCO Security Technologies is overvalued with Real Value of 33.0 and Target Price of 28.8. The main objective of NAPCO Security stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what NAPCO Security Technologies is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of NAPCO Security's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The NAPCO Security stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and NAPCO Security's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in NAPCO Security Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

NAPCO Stock Analysis Notes

About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2024. NAPCO Security Techn had 2:1 split on the 5th of January 2022. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security products in the United States and internationally. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York. Napco Sec operates under Security Protection Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1149 people. To find out more about NAPCO Security Technologies contact Richard Soloway at 631 842 9400 or learn more at https://www.napcosecurity.com.

NAPCO Security Quarterly Total Revenue

44 Million

NAPCO Security Techn Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. NAPCO Security's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding NAPCO Security Technologies or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
NAPCO Security Techn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NAPCO Security Techn has high historical volatility and very poor performance
NAPCO Security Techn is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
NAPCO Security Techn has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 3rd of October 2024 NAPCO Security paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Napco Security Technologies, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 10.0 percent Heres What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

NAPCO Security Techn Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to NAPCO Security previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
5th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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3rd of September 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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NAPCO Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact NAPCO Security's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-05-09
2022-03-310.070.080.0114 
2020-02-03
2019-12-310.090.10.0111 
2018-05-07
2018-03-310.040.050.0125 
View All Earnings Estimates

NAPCO Security Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

NAPCO Security's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates NAPCO Security's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of NAPCO Security's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect NAPCO Security's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

NAPCO Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
766.4 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
676.6 K
Abrdn Plc2024-09-30
670 K
Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp2024-06-30
606.4 K
Granite Investment Partners, Llc2024-06-30
593.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
586.8 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
558.3 K
Emerald Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
508.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
507.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Note, although NAPCO Security's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NAPCO Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.38 B.

NAPCO Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.26 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.27 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.27.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.24  0.26 
Return On Capital Employed 0.29  0.30 
Return On Assets 0.24  0.25 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.29 

Management Efficiency

NAPCO Security Techn has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1805 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1805 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.3094 %, meaning that it created $0.3094 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. NAPCO Security's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well NAPCO Security manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.26. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.30. At present, NAPCO Security's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 4.5 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 22.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.86  5.10 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.76  5.00 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 33.44  35.11 
Price Book Value Ratio 10.80  11.34 
Enterprise Value Multiple 33.44  35.11 
Price Fair Value 10.80  11.34 
Enterprise Value103.3 M108.5 M
Leadership at NAPCO Security emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Dividend Yield
0.0132
Operating Margin
0.2694
Profit Margin
0.2643
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0132
Beta
1.636

Technical Drivers

As of the 13th of November 2024, NAPCO Security secures the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18), standard deviation of 4.12, and Mean Deviation of 2.52. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check helpful technical drivers of NAPCO Security Techn, as well as the relationship between them.

NAPCO Security Techn Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. NAPCO Security middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for NAPCO Security Techn. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

NAPCO Security Techn Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific NAPCO Security insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on NAPCO Security's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases NAPCO Security insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

NAPCO Security Outstanding Bonds

NAPCO Security issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. NAPCO Security Techn uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most NAPCO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when NAPCO Security Technologies has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

NAPCO Security Predictive Daily Indicators

NAPCO Security intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of NAPCO Security stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

NAPCO Security Corporate Filings

13A
12th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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10Q
4th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
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25th of October 2024
Other Reports
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13A
21st of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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8K
18th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
16th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
6th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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10K
29th of August 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
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NAPCO Security Forecast Models

NAPCO Security's time-series forecasting models are one of many NAPCO Security's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary NAPCO Security's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About NAPCO Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how NAPCO Security prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling NAPCO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as NAPCO Security. By using and applying NAPCO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying NAPCO entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.30  0.31 
Operating Profit Margin 0.29  0.30 
Net Profit Margin 0.26  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.54  0.57 

Current NAPCO Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. NAPCO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. NAPCO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
28.8Strong Buy6Odds
NAPCO Security Technologies current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most NAPCO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand NAPCO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of NAPCO Security Techn, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to NAPCO conference calls.
NAPCO Analyst Advice Details

NAPCO Stock Analysis Indicators

NAPCO Security Technologies stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how NAPCO Security stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading NAPCO Security shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying NAPCO Security stock analysis, traders can identify NAPCO Security position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow36 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity178.9 M
Tax Provision6.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.071
Property Plant And Equipment Net14.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments97.7 M
Cash65.3 M
Accounts PayableM
Net Debt-59.8 M
50 Day M A39.1192
Total Current Liabilities22.2 M
Other Operating Expenses135 M
Non Current Assets Total39 M
Forward Price Earnings24.6914
Non Currrent Assets Other15.4 M
Stock Based Compensation1.7 M

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When running NAPCO Security's price analysis, check to measure NAPCO Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NAPCO Security is operating at the current time. Most of NAPCO Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NAPCO Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NAPCO Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NAPCO Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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