Is NAPCO Security Stock a Good Investment?
NAPCO Security Investment Advice | NSSC |
- Examine NAPCO Security's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research NAPCO Security's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help NAPCO Security navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space and any emerging trends that could impact NAPCO Security's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare NAPCO Security's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how NAPCO Security is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if NAPCO Security pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about NAPCO Security's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in NAPCO Security Technologies stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if NAPCO Security Technologies is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine NAPCO Security Stock
Researching NAPCO Security's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2024. NAPCO Security Techn had 2:1 split on the 5th of January 2022.
To determine if NAPCO Security is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding NAPCO Security's research are outlined below:
| NAPCO Security Techn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NAPCO Security Techn has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| NAPCO Security Techn is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| NAPCO Security Techn has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 3rd of October 2024 NAPCO Security paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Napco Security Technologies, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 10.0 percent Heres What Analysts Think Will Happen Next |
NAPCO Security uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in NAPCO Security Technologies. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to NAPCO Security's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 5th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 13th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 3rd of September 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 30th of June 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact NAPCO Security's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises NAPCO Security's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-05-09 | 2022-03-31 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
2020-02-03 | 2019-12-31 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 11 | ||
2018-05-07 | 2018-03-31 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 25 | ||
2017-09-05 | 2017-06-30 | 0.1 | 0.09 | -0.01 | 10 | ||
2017-05-08 | 2017-03-31 | 0.04 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 25 | ||
2017-02-06 | 2016-12-31 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 50 | ||
2016-11-07 | 2016-09-30 | 0.04 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 25 | ||
2016-05-09 | 2016-03-31 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 50 |
Know NAPCO Security's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as NAPCO Security is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NAPCO Security Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. NAPCO Security's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase NAPCO Security's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 766.4 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 676.6 K | Abrdn Plc | 2024-09-30 | 670 K | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2024-06-30 | 606.4 K | Granite Investment Partners, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 593.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-06-30 | 586.8 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-06-30 | 558.3 K | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 508.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 507.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.7 M |
NAPCO Security's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.42 B.Market Cap |
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NAPCO Security's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.24 | 0.26 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.29 | 0.30 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.24 | 0.25 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.28 | 0.29 |
Determining NAPCO Security's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if NAPCO Security is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures NAPCO Security's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of NAPCO Security's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
NAPCO Security's Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Please note, the presentation of NAPCO Security's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, NAPCO Security's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of NAPCO Security's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate NAPCO Security's management efficiency
NAPCO Security Techn has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1805 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1805 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.3094 %, meaning that it created $0.3094 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. NAPCO Security's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well NAPCO Security manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.26. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.30. At present, NAPCO Security's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 4.5 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 22.1 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.86 | 5.10 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 4.76 | 5.00 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 33.44 | 35.11 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 10.80 | 11.34 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 33.44 | 35.11 | |
| Price Fair Value | 10.80 | 11.34 | |
| Enterprise Value | 103.3 M | 108.5 M |
Leadership at NAPCO Security emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Dividend Yield 0.0129 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0129 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.5 | Beta 1.636 |
Basic technical analysis of NAPCO Stock
As of the 12th of November 2024, NAPCO Security secures the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), mean deviation of 2.48, and Standard Deviation of 4.12. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check helpful technical drivers of NAPCO Security Techn, as well as the relationship between them.NAPCO Security's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific NAPCO Security insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on NAPCO Security's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases NAPCO Security insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Beeber Paul Stephen over two months ago Disposition of 792 shares by Beeber Paul Stephen of NAPCO Security at 43.43 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Michael Carrieri over three months ago Acquisition by Michael Carrieri of 1600 shares of NAPCO Security at 15.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Soloway over six months ago Disposition of 2000000 shares by Richard Soloway of NAPCO Security at 40.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Soloway over six months ago Sale by Richard Soloway of 28000 shares of NAPCO Security | ||
Andrew Wilder over a year ago Exercise or conversion by Andrew Wilder of 5000 shares of NAPCO Security subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Richard Soloway over a year ago Sale by Richard Soloway of 2012500 shares of NAPCO Security |
NAPCO Security's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
NAPCO Security issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. NAPCO Security Techn uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most NAPCO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when NAPCO Security Technologies has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Understand NAPCO Security's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing NAPCO Security's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.17) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,064) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Variance | 16.93 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.77) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.30) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.06 | |||
| Skewness | (2.65) | |||
| Kurtosis | 9.95 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.17) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,064) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Variance | 16.93 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.77) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.30) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.06 | |||
| Skewness | (2.65) | |||
| Kurtosis | 9.95 |
Consider NAPCO Security's intraday indicators
NAPCO Security intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of NAPCO Security stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25802.28 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.59) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 38.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 38.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.02) |
NAPCO Security Corporate Filings
10Q | 4th of November 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
| 25th of October 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
13A | 21st of October 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
8K | 18th of September 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
NAPCO Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about NAPCO Security that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through NAPCO media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via NAPCO internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of NAPCO data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of NAPCO Security news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of NAPCO Security relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to NAPCO Security's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive NAPCO Security alpha.
NAPCO Security Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards NAPCO Security can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
NAPCO Security Techn Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to NAPCO Security's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NAPCO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NAPCO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NAPCO Security Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
NAPCO Security's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for NAPCO Security and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average NAPCO Security news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on NAPCO Security.
NAPCO Security Corporate Management
| Michael Carrieri | Sr. VP of Engineering Devel. | Profile | |
| Stephen Spinelli | Senior Sales | Profile | |
| Michael Almes | Controller | Profile | |
| Patrick McKillop | Director Relations | Profile | |
| Andrew CPA | Senior Officer | Profile |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in NAPCO Security Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NAPCO Security. If investors know NAPCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NAPCO Security listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.071 | Dividend Share 0.405 | Earnings Share 1.36 | Revenue Per Share 5.191 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
The market value of NAPCO Security Techn is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NAPCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NAPCO Security's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NAPCO Security's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NAPCO Security's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NAPCO Security's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between NAPCO Security's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if NAPCO Security is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NAPCO Security's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.