Instil Bio Stock Price Prediction
| TIL Stock | USD 66.25 7.50 12.77% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
84
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (2.85) | EPS Estimate Current Year (10.03) | EPS Estimate Next Year (10.02) | Wall Street Target Price 103.67 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (2.98) |
Using Instil Bio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Instil Bio from the perspective of Instil Bio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Instil Bio to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Instil because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Instil Bio after-hype prediction price | USD 63.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Instil |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Instil Bio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Instil Bio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Instil Bio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Instil Bio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Instil Bio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Instil Bio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Instil Bio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Instil Bio's historical news coverage. Instil Bio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.56 and 78.46, respectively. We have considered Instil Bio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Instil Bio is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Instil Bio is based on 3 months time horizon.
Instil Bio Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Instil Bio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Instil Bio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Instil Bio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.90 | 15.45 | 3.24 | 0.12 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
66.25 | 63.01 | 4.89 |
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Instil Bio Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of September Instil Bio is traded for 66.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Instil is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 63.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -4.89%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 3.9%. The volatility of related hype on Instil Bio is about 49159.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.13. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Instil Bio recorded a loss per share of 18.39. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 8th of December 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Instil Bio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Instil Bio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Instil Bio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Instil Bio's future price movements. Getting to know how Instil Bio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Instil Bio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASMB | Assembly Biosciences | (0.12) | 7 per month | 3.24 | 0.09 | 6.02 | (6.04) | 20.11 | |
| NUVB | Nuvation Bio | (0.01) | 6 per month | 3.65 | (0.02) | 6.98 | (6.19) | 17.51 | |
| ACHL | Achilles Therapeutics PLC | 0.04 | 2 per month | 1.95 | 0.04 | 3.75 | (3.57) | 9.00 | |
| NXTC | NextCure | 0.01 | 4 per month | 3.12 | 0 | 4.67 | (5.62) | 20.01 | |
| CTMX | CytomX Therapeutics | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.87 | (5.60) | 17.21 | |
| SPRO | Spero Therapeutics | (0.01) | 6 per month | 2.12 | (0.01) | 4.72 | (3.94) | 12.84 | |
| NLTX | Neoleukin Therapeutics | (0.14) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.05 | (3.53) | 27.84 |
Instil Bio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Instil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Instil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Instil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Instil Bio Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Instil Bio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Instil Bio, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Instil Bio based on analysis of Instil Bio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Instil Bio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Instil Bio's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 136.93 | 95.37 | Receivables Turnover | 0.0391 | 0.0348 |
Story Coverage note for Instil Bio
The number of cover stories for Instil Bio depends on current market conditions and Instil Bio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Instil Bio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Instil Bio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Instil Bio Short Properties
Instil Bio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Instil Bio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Instil Bio often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Instil Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Instil Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 151.9 M |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Instil Stock
When determining whether Instil Bio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Instil Bio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Instil Bio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Instil Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Instil Bio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Instil Stock please use our How to buy in Instil Stock guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Instil Bio. If investors know Instil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Instil Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (18.39) | Return On Assets (0.12) | Return On Equity (0.49) |
The market value of Instil Bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Instil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Instil Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Instil Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Instil Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Instil Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Instil Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Instil Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Instil Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.