Smart Digital Group Stock Price Prediction

SDM Stock   17.61  0.13  0.73%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Smart Digital's stock price is about 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Smart, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Smart Digital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Smart Digital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Smart Digital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Smart Digital Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Smart Digital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.68
Using Smart Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smart Digital Group from the perspective of Smart Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smart Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smart because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Smart Digital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Smart Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smart Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.6813.5828.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.1117.0832.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.8911.9521.01
Details

Smart Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Smart Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smart Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smart Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Smart Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Smart Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smart Digital's historical news coverage. Smart Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.56 and 36.52, respectively. We have considered Smart Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.61
21.54
After-hype Price
36.52
Upside
Smart Digital is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smart Digital Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Smart Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smart Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smart Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smart Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  3.48 
14.98
  11.45 
  1.94 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.61
21.54
22.32 
455.32  
Notes

Smart Digital Hype Timeline

On the 27th of July Smart Digital Group is traded for 17.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 11.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.94. Smart is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 22.32%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 3.48%. The volatility of related hype on Smart Digital is about 2693.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.67. Smart Digital Group has 302.98 K in debt. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Smart to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Smart Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Smart Digital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Smart Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smart Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Smart Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smart Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
INACUIndigo Acquisition Corp 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (2.63) 0.20 (0.10) 0.30 
EMREmerson Electric(0.74)9 per month 0.00  0.31  2.54 (1.02) 7.65 
PEPPepsiCo(3.02)8 per month 1.22 (0.12) 2.37 (1.51) 8.97 
MJWNYNaked Wines plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  19.06 
GAYMFGalway Metals 0.00 0 per month 3.26  0  8.00 (6.67) 25.38 
WVVIPWillamette Valley Vineyards 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.89 (4.03) 12.04 
HNIHNI Corp(0.09)12 per month 1.08  0.10  3.58 (2.51) 8.64 
MNSTMonster Beverage Corp(0.60)10 per month 1.10 (0.16) 1.51 (1.84) 5.46 

Smart Digital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Smart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Smart Digital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Smart Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smart Digital Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smart Digital based on analysis of Smart Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smart Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smart Digital's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding365.57173.24199.23189.26
PTB Ratio35.1625.3829.1944.96

Story Coverage note for Smart Digital

The number of cover stories for Smart Digital depends on current market conditions and Smart Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smart Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smart Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Smart Digital Short Properties

Smart Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smart Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smart Digital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smart Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smart Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments57.8 K
When determining whether Smart Digital Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Smart Digital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Smart Digital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Smart Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Smart Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smart Digital. If investors know Smart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smart Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Earnings Share
0.06
Revenue Per Share
0.861
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.68
Return On Assets
0.107
The market value of Smart Digital Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smart Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smart Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smart Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smart Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smart Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smart Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smart Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.