Live Ventures Stock Price Prediction
| LIVE Stock | USD 10.04 0.76 7.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
24
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Wall Street Target Price 138 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.354 |
Using Live Ventures hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Live Ventures from the perspective of Live Ventures response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Live Ventures to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Live because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Live Ventures after-hype prediction price | USD 10.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Live |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Live Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Live Ventures After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Live Ventures at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Live Ventures or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Live Ventures, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Live Ventures Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Live Ventures' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Live Ventures' historical news coverage. Live Ventures' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.26 and 13.72, respectively. We have considered Live Ventures' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Live Ventures is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Live Ventures is based on 3 months time horizon.
Live Ventures Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Live Ventures is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Live Ventures backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Live Ventures, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 3.30 | 0.36 | 2.04 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.04 | 10.49 | 2.87 |
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Live Ventures Hype Timeline
Live Ventures is now traded for 10.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.04. Live is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.87%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.73%. The volatility of related hype on Live Ventures is about 118.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.00. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Live Ventures recorded a loss per share of 3.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2005. The firm had 1:6 split on the 8th of December 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Live Ventures Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Live Ventures Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Live Ventures' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Live Ventures' future price movements. Getting to know how Live Ventures' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Live Ventures may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARHS | Arhaus Inc | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.36 | (5.79) | 19.97 | |
| FND | Floor Decor Holdings | 6.04 | 8 per month | 2.12 | (0.04) | 4.11 | (3.94) | 12.54 | |
| HVT-A | Haverty Furniture Companies | (27.11) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.79 | (6.64) | 18.61 | |
| KGFHF | Kingfisher plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.56 | 0.01 | 4.39 | (5.63) | 32.82 | |
| HVT | Haverty Furniture Companies | (0.60) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.40 | (3.56) | 13.87 | |
| KIRK | Kirklands | (0.09) | 9 per month | 3.33 | 0.03 | 6.86 | (6.17) | 22.39 | |
| TTSH | Tile Shop Holdings | (0.08) | 12 per month | 1.51 | 0.03 | 3.03 | (3.00) | 10.32 | |
| HD | Home Depot | (5.67) | 5 per month | 0.85 | 0.07 | 1.65 | (1.47) | 5.73 | |
| LOW | Lowes Companies | 2.57 | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.06 | 1.80 | (1.70) | 6.83 |
Live Ventures Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Live price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Live using various technical indicators. When you analyze Live charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Live Ventures Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Live Ventures stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Live Ventures, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Live Ventures based on analysis of Live Ventures hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Live Ventures's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Live Ventures's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.02 | 0.97 | Dividend Yield | 1.38E-4 | 1.31E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Live Ventures
The number of cover stories for Live Ventures depends on current market conditions and Live Ventures' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Live Ventures is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Live Ventures' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Live Ventures Short Properties
Live Ventures' future price predictability will typically decrease when Live Ventures' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Live Ventures often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Live Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Live Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Live Stock analysis
When running Live Ventures' price analysis, check to measure Live Ventures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Live Ventures is operating at the current time. Most of Live Ventures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Live Ventures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Live Ventures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Live Ventures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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