Lucid Group Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.23 4.56 10.46 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 0.08 3.85 9.75 Details

12 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 7.46 8.20 9.10 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.39 -0.3 -0.25 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lucid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lucid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lucid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lucid Group.

Lucid After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Lucid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Lucid Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.45	5.90	0.02	0.09	10 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
3.53	3.55	0.57	14,750   Notes

Lucid Hype Timeline

Lucid Group is now traded for 3.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Lucid is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Lucid is about 2901.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.44. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 595.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.83 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.04 B). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Lucid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lucid Related Hype Analysis

Lucid Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lucid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lucid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lucid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Lucid stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lucid Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lucid based on analysis of Lucid hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Lucid depends on current market conditions and Lucid's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lucid is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lucid's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lucid's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lucid's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lucid Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lucid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Lucid's price analysis, check to measure Lucid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucid is operating at the current time. Most of Lucid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.