Jbs Nv Stock Price Prediction
| JBS Stock | 13.77 0.41 2.89% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JBS NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JBS NV from the perspective of JBS NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards JBS NV using JBS NV's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards JBS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of JBS NV's stock price.
JBS NV Implied Volatility | 1.47 |
JBS NV's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JBS NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JBS NV's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JBS NV stock will not fluctuate a lot when JBS NV's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JBS NV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JBS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JBS NV after-hype prediction price | USD 13.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current JBS contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that JBS NV will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0919% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With JBS NV trading at USD 13.77, that is roughly USD 0.0127 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating JBS NV's daily price movement you should consider acquiring JBS NV options at the current volatility level of 1.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out JBS NV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. JBS NV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JBS NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JBS NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JBS NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JBS NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JBS NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JBS NV's historical news coverage. JBS NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.85 and 16.75, respectively. We have considered JBS NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JBS NV is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JBS NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
JBS NV Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JBS NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JBS NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JBS NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.95 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.77 | 13.80 | 0.22 |
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JBS NV Hype Timeline
On the 8th of July JBS NV is traded for 13.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. JBS is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on JBS NV is about 662.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.73. The company reported the last year's revenue of 477.06 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 10.92 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out JBS NV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JBS NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JBS NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JBS NV's future price movements. Getting to know how JBS NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JBS NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| K | Kellanova | 0.35 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.53 | (0.72) | 2.39 | |
| BG | Bunge Limited | (0.70) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.20 | (3.24) | 10.50 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.98 | (3.84) | 17.18 | |
| MO | Altria Group | (0.09) | 5 per month | 1.23 | (0.02) | 1.90 | (1.76) | 6.24 | |
| PM | Philip Morris International | (5.21) | 5 per month | 1.68 | 0.08 | 2.43 | (2.53) | 10.85 | |
| TR | Tootsie Roll Industries | (0.59) | 4 per month | 1.31 | 0.07 | 2.96 | (2.10) | 6.72 | |
| DOLE | Dole PLC | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.04 | (2.62) | 9.32 | |
| VITL | Vital Farms | 1.54 | 8 per month | 2.14 | 0.11 | 4.17 | (3.23) | 13.94 | |
| EDBL | Edible Garden AG | 0.19 | 11 per month | 5.74 | 0.04 | 11.14 | (11.03) | 101.64 | |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee | 0.23 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.23 | (4.63) | 23.60 |
JBS NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JBS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JBS using various technical indicators. When you analyze JBS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About JBS NV Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JBS NV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JBS NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JBS NV based on analysis of JBS NV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JBS NV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JBS NV's related companies.
Story Coverage note for JBS NV
The number of cover stories for JBS NV depends on current market conditions and JBS NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JBS NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JBS NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JBS NV Short Properties
JBS NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when JBS NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JBS NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JBS NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JBS NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -4.7 B |
Additional Tools for JBS Stock Analysis
When running JBS NV's price analysis, check to measure JBS NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JBS NV is operating at the current time. Most of JBS NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JBS NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JBS NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JBS NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.