Edible Garden Ag Stock Price Prediction

EDBL Stock  USD 1.66  0.01  0.61%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Edible Garden's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Edible Garden, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Edible Garden's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Edible Garden and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Edible Garden's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Edible Garden AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Edible Garden's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.51)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.24)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.51)
Wall Street Target Price
8
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.74)
Using Edible Garden hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Edible Garden AG from the perspective of Edible Garden response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Edible Garden AG Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Edible Garden's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Edible. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Edible can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Edible Garden AG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Edible Garden's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Edible Garden.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Edible Garden to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Edible because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Edible Garden after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Edible Garden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.247.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.455.93
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.51-0.51-0.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Edible Garden. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Edible Garden's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Edible Garden's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Edible Garden AG.

Edible Garden After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Edible Garden at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Edible Garden or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Edible Garden, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Edible Garden Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Edible Garden's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Edible Garden's historical news coverage. Edible Garden's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 6.14, respectively. We have considered Edible Garden's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.66
1.67
After-hype Price
6.14
Upside
Edible Garden is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Edible Garden AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Edible Garden Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Edible Garden is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Edible Garden backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Edible Garden, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52 
4.47
  0.01 
  0.02 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.66
1.67
0.60 
44,700  
Notes

Edible Garden Hype Timeline

Edible Garden AG is currently traded for 1.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Edible is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Edible Garden is about 11461.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.68. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Edible Garden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Edible Garden Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Edible Garden's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Edible Garden's future price movements. Getting to know how Edible Garden's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Edible Garden may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AQBAquaBounty Technologies(0.04)9 per month 5.92  0.13  16.06 (9.32) 56.26 
AGRIAgriFORCE Growing Systems(1.05)6 per month 7.63  0.02  10.79 (13.71) 164.29 
SDOTSadot Group 0.50 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 11.05 (12.04) 64.88 
GVVisionary Education Technology 1.13 8 per month 5.39  0.05  10.07 (11.11) 109.46 
KAVLKaival Brands Innovations(0.03)10 per month 6.91  0.08  15.48 (10.64) 67.29 
VSTDVSTD 0.04 5 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.77 (12.12) 82.76 
FCHLFitness Champs Holdings(0.43)13 per month 0.00 (0.17) 18.88 (34.58) 110.57 
EEIQElite Education Group(0.15)9 per month 8.36  0.02  7.14 (8.51) 169.95 
IBGInnovation Beverage Group 0.23 7 per month 8.82  0.08  25.16 (14.35) 124.36 
GNLNGreenlane Holdings 0.19 9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 9.54 (10.21) 34.23 

Edible Garden Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Edible price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edible using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edible charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Edible Garden Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Edible Garden stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Edible Garden AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Edible Garden based on analysis of Edible Garden hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Edible Garden's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Edible Garden's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Payables Turnover6.4710.735.044.58
Days Of Inventory On Hand19.1218.7148.8151.25

Story Coverage note for Edible Garden

The number of cover stories for Edible Garden depends on current market conditions and Edible Garden's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Edible Garden is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Edible Garden's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Edible Garden Short Properties

Edible Garden's future price predictability will typically decrease when Edible Garden's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Edible Garden AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Edible Garden's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Edible Garden's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding218.3 K
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 M
When determining whether Edible Garden AG is a strong investment it is important to analyze Edible Garden's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Edible Garden's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Edible Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Edible Garden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Edible Garden. If investors know Edible will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Edible Garden listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
77.13
Revenue Per Share
11.585
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
Return On Assets
(0.42)
Return On Equity
(1.46)
The market value of Edible Garden AG is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Edible that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Edible Garden's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Edible Garden's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Edible Garden's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Edible Garden's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Edible Garden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Edible Garden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Edible Garden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.