Greif Inc Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 62.80 75.81 78.16 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 69.12 71.47 73.82 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 84.63 93.00 103.23 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.91 1.91 1.91 Details

Greif After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Greif Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Greif Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.36	2.35	1.53	0.03	10 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
69.78	71.31	2.19	55.16   Notes

Greif Hype Timeline

Greif Inc is currently traded for 69.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Greif is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 71.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 55.16%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Greif is about 2711.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.75. Greif Inc has accumulated 3.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 257.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Greif Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Greif Related Hype Analysis

Greif Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Greif price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greif using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greif charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Greif stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greif Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greif based on analysis of Greif hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Greif depends on current market conditions and Greif's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greif is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greif's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Greif's future price predictability will typically decrease when Greif's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greif Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greif's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greif's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Greif's price analysis, check to measure Greif's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif is operating at the current time. Most of Greif's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.