Greif Inc Stock Price Prediction
| GEF-B Stock | USD 69.78 0.20 0.29% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Greif hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greif Inc from the perspective of Greif response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greif to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greif because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Greif after-hype prediction price | USD 71.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Greif Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Greif After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greif at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greif or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greif, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greif Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greif's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greif's historical news coverage. Greif's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.99 and 73.73, respectively. We have considered Greif's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greif is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greif Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greif Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greif is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greif backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greif, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.37 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
69.78 | 71.36 | 2.26 |
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Greif Hype Timeline
Greif Inc is currently traded for 69.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Greif is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 71.36 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Greif is about 4538.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.76. Greif Inc has accumulated 3.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 257.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Greif Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Greif Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greif's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greif's future price movements. Getting to know how Greif's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greif may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEF | Greif Bros | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.08 | 3.83 | (2.16) | 17.94 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.07) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.75 | (2.42) | 5.03 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | (1.25) | 11 per month | 0.85 | (0.05) | 2.06 | (1.81) | 5.99 | |
| TRS | TriMas | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.74 | 0.21 | 3.39 | (1.97) | 15.48 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.96 | 12 per month | 1.23 | 0.02 | 3.14 | (2.17) | 9.14 | |
| RUSHB | Rush Enterprises B | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.13 | (2.74) | 7.67 | |
| LEN-B | Lennar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | (0.02) | 4.15 | (3.47) | 12.62 | |
| HVT-A | Haverty Furniture Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 10.17 | (5.94) | 19.05 | |
| CIG-C | Energy of Minas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.69 | (0) | 4.17 | (4.56) | 17.51 |
Greif Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greif price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greif using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greif charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Greif Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Greif stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greif Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greif based on analysis of Greif hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greif's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greif's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Greif
The number of cover stories for Greif depends on current market conditions and Greif's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greif is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greif's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Greif Short Properties
Greif's future price predictability will typically decrease when Greif's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greif Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greif's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greif's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 197.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Greif Stock analysis
When running Greif's price analysis, check to measure Greif's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif is operating at the current time. Most of Greif's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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