Reynolds Consumer Products Stock Price Prediction
| REYN Stock | USD 28.16 0.10 0.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.106 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6791 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7511 | Wall Street Target Price 31.6667 |
Using Reynolds Consumer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reynolds Consumer Products from the perspective of Reynolds Consumer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Reynolds Consumer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Reynolds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Reynolds Consumer after-hype prediction price | USD 28.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Reynolds |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reynolds Consumer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Reynolds Consumer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reynolds Consumer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reynolds Consumer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reynolds Consumer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Reynolds Consumer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reynolds Consumer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reynolds Consumer's historical news coverage. Reynolds Consumer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.89 and 29.43, respectively. We have considered Reynolds Consumer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reynolds Consumer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reynolds Consumer is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reynolds Consumer Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reynolds Consumer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reynolds Consumer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reynolds Consumer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.16 | 28.16 | 0.00 |
|
Reynolds Consumer Hype Timeline
Reynolds Consumer is at this time traded for 28.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. Reynolds is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Reynolds Consumer is about 312.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.23. About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Reynolds Consumer was at this time reported as 9.83. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Reynolds Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Reynolds Consumer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reynolds Consumer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reynolds Consumer's future price movements. Getting to know how Reynolds Consumer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reynolds Consumer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEF | Greif Bros | (0.43) | 10 per month | 0.97 | 0.07 | 2.68 | (2.21) | 9.36 | |
| KRT | Karat Packaging | 0.37 | 8 per month | 0.66 | 0.19 | 3.17 | (1.66) | 11.75 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.67 | 12 per month | 0.82 | 0.04 | 1.75 | (1.63) | 5.38 | |
| OI | O I Glass | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.29 | (3.81) | 13.61 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | 0.15 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.56 | (1.47) | 4.12 | |
| MYE | Myers Industries | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.75 | (4.06) | 11.95 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.67 | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0.04 | 2.28 | (2.44) | 8.29 | |
| PKG | Packaging Corp of | 1.34 | 8 per month | 0.41 | 0.12 | 2.43 | (1.15) | 7.16 | |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | 0.94 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.50 | (2.00) | 9.59 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | 0.37 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.47 | (1.86) | 6.88 |
Reynolds Consumer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reynolds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reynolds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reynolds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Reynolds Consumer Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Reynolds Consumer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Reynolds Consumer Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Reynolds Consumer based on analysis of Reynolds Consumer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Reynolds Consumer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Reynolds Consumer's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0291 | 0.0305 | 0.0341 | 0.0228 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.85 | 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.01 |
Story Coverage note for Reynolds Consumer
The number of cover stories for Reynolds Consumer depends on current market conditions and Reynolds Consumer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reynolds Consumer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reynolds Consumer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Reynolds Consumer Short Properties
Reynolds Consumer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Reynolds Consumer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Reynolds Consumer Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Reynolds Consumer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reynolds Consumer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 115 M |
Check out Reynolds Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Reynolds Consumer. If investors know Reynolds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Reynolds Consumer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.106 | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 1.75 | Revenue Per Share 17.522 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Reynolds Consumer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Reynolds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Reynolds Consumer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Reynolds Consumer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Reynolds Consumer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Reynolds Consumer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Reynolds Consumer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Reynolds Consumer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Reynolds Consumer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.