Ge Aerospace Stock Price Prediction
GE Stock | USD 180.19 2.21 1.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.064 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3133 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.2713 | Wall Street Target Price 208.8894 |
Using GE Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GE Aerospace from the perspective of GE Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GE Aerospace using GE Aerospace's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GE Aerospace using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GE Aerospace's stock price.
GE Aerospace Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in GE Aerospace's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards GE Aerospace. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of GE Aerospace stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 161.2339 | Short Percent 0.0105 | Short Ratio 2.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.2 M | 50 Day MA 182.979 |
GE Aerospace Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to GE Aerospace's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GE Aerospace. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GE Aerospace can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GE Aerospace. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GE Aerospace's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GE Aerospace.
GE Aerospace Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
GE Aerospace's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GE Aerospace stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GE Aerospace's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GE Aerospace stock will not fluctuate a lot when GE Aerospace's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GE Aerospace to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GE Aerospace because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GE Aerospace after-hype prediction price | USD 177.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GE Aerospace contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GE Aerospace will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0606% per day over the life of the 2024-11-22 option contract. With GE Aerospace trading at USD 180.19, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GE Aerospace's daily price movement you should consider acquiring GE Aerospace options at the current volatility level of 0.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
GE Aerospace |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GE Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GE Aerospace After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GE Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GE Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GE Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
GE Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GE Aerospace's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GE Aerospace's historical news coverage. GE Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 175.80 and 179.78, respectively. We have considered GE Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GE Aerospace is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GE Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.
GE Aerospace Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GE Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GE Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GE Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.99 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
180.19 | 177.79 | 0.11 |
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GE Aerospace Hype Timeline
As of November 21, 2024 GE Aerospace is listed for 180.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. GE Aerospace is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 177.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 81.89%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on GE Aerospace is about 1236.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 180.20. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.92. GE Aerospace recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of September 2024. The firm had 1253:1000 split on the 2nd of April 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out GE Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GE Aerospace Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GE Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GE Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how GE Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GE Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 1.72 | 9 per month | 0.64 | 0.05 | 1.53 | (1.33) | 4.73 | |
SCRYX | Small Cap Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 2.39 | (1.69) | 7.88 | |
FRHC | Freedom Holding Corp | 0.57 | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.24 | 4.02 | (2.40) | 7.38 | |
GFL | Gfl Environmental Holdings | (0.41) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.02 | 2.97 | (2.29) | 7.37 | |
RGAGX | Growth Fund Of | (0.97) | 1 per month | 0.91 | 0.02 | 1.34 | (1.66) | 4.40 | |
SVII | Spring Valley Acquisition | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.39 | (0.17) | 0.44 | (0.53) | 4.77 | |
GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.52 | (5.41) | 14.93 | |
KNF | Knife River | 1.35 | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.15 | 4.01 | (2.46) | 12.96 | |
MRK | Merck Company | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.68 | (2.13) | 4.89 | |
WES | Western Midstream Partners | (0.40) | 10 per month | 1.39 | (0.04) | 1.94 | (2.16) | 5.82 |
GE Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GE Aerospace price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GE Aerospace using various technical indicators. When you analyze GE Aerospace charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About GE Aerospace Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GE Aerospace stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GE Aerospace, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GE Aerospace based on analysis of GE Aerospace hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GE Aerospace's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GE Aerospace's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008908 | 0.0112 | 0.005314 | 0.005048 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.14 | 0.98 | 1.63 | 0.92 |
Story Coverage note for GE Aerospace
The number of cover stories for GE Aerospace depends on current market conditions and GE Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GE Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GE Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GE Aerospace Short Properties
GE Aerospace's future price predictability will typically decrease when GE Aerospace's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GE Aerospace often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GE Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GE Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.7 B |
Complementary Tools for GE Aerospace Stock analysis
When running GE Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure GE Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GE Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of GE Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GE Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GE Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GE Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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