General Dynamics Stock Price Prediction
| GD Stock | USD 284.01 1.70 0.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.102 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.51 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.9268 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.0989 | Wall Street Target Price 330.1438 |
Using General Dynamics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Dynamics from the perspective of General Dynamics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
General Dynamics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to General Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in General. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding General can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Dynamics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of General Dynamics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about General Dynamics.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General Dynamics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
General Dynamics after-hype prediction price | USD 284.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
General |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Dynamics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General Dynamics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Dynamics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Dynamics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
General Dynamics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General Dynamics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Dynamics' historical news coverage. General Dynamics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 282.65 and 285.45, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
General Dynamics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Dynamics is based on 3 months time horizon.
General Dynamics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General Dynamics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Dynamics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Dynamics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.40 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
284.01 | 284.05 | 0.01 |
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General Dynamics Hype Timeline
As of December 1, 2024 General Dynamics is listed for 284.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. General is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 284.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 133.33%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on General Dynamics is about 751.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 284.02. The company generated the yearly revenue of 42.27 B. Reported Net Income was 3.31 B with gross profit of 6.62 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out General Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.General Dynamics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General Dynamics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Dynamics' future price movements. Getting to know how General Dynamics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Dynamics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | 6.87 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.50 | (1.51) | 9.77 | |
| RTX | Raytheon Technologies Corp | 0.93 | 7 per month | 1.19 | (0.09) | 2.20 | (1.85) | 6.80 | |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | (2.52) | 6 per month | 1.28 | (0.02) | 2.19 | (1.78) | 8.70 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 2.28 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.45 | (2.65) | 28.74 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | (1.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.62 | (1.78) | 6.85 | |
| BA | The Boeing | (2.98) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.11 | (3.41) | 8.23 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | (1.95) | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.09 | 2.96 | (2.48) | 11.02 | |
| HXL | Hexcel | (0.03) | 11 per month | 1.62 | (0.07) | 2.35 | (2.66) | 6.19 |
General Dynamics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About General Dynamics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of General Dynamics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Dynamics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of General Dynamics based on analysis of General Dynamics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to General Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to General Dynamics's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.029 | 0.0225 | 0.02 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.13 | 1.52 | 1.73 |
Story Coverage note for General Dynamics
The number of cover stories for General Dynamics depends on current market conditions and General Dynamics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Dynamics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Dynamics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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General Dynamics Short Properties
General Dynamics' future price predictability will typically decrease when General Dynamics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Dynamics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 275.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Complementary Tools for General Stock analysis
When running General Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure General Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of General Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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