Gdev Inc Stock Price Prediction
| GDEV Stock | USD 19.75 1.88 8.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.17 | Wall Street Target Price 70 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using GDEV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GDEV Inc from the perspective of GDEV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GDEV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GDEV because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GDEV after-hype prediction price | USD 19.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GDEV |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GDEV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GDEV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GDEV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GDEV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GDEV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GDEV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GDEV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GDEV's historical news coverage. GDEV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.61 and 26.89, respectively. We have considered GDEV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GDEV is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GDEV Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
GDEV Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GDEV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GDEV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GDEV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 7.14 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.75 | 19.75 | 0.00 |
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GDEV Hype Timeline
GDEV Inc is currently traded for 19.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. GDEV is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on GDEV is about 9916.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.74. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. GDEV Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 29th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out GDEV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GDEV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GDEV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GDEV's future price movements. Getting to know how GDEV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GDEV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLITF | i3 Interactive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRAG | Bragg Gaming Group | 0.10 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.00 | (3.50) | 34.25 | |
| SNAL | Snail, Class A | (0.11) | 9 per month | 7.43 | 0.13 | 39.73 | (13.53) | 86.41 | |
| MYPS | Playstudios | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.84 | 0.13 | 7.56 | (5.66) | 14.99 | |
| SCPL | Sciplay Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 1.73 | (2.08) | 27.64 | |
| SOHU | SohuCom | (0.84) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.86 | (5.21) | 13.26 | |
| PLTK | Playtika Holding Corp | 0.06 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.90 | (2.65) | 10.85 | |
| DDI | Doubledown Interactive Co | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.38 | (5.28) | 22.06 | |
| GMGI | Golden Matrix Group | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.76 | (6.39) | 29.54 | |
| GAME | GameSquare Holdings | (0.01) | 10 per month | 4.88 | (0) | 9.09 | (7.50) | 50.00 |
GDEV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GDEV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GDEV using various technical indicators. When you analyze GDEV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GDEV Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GDEV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GDEV Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GDEV based on analysis of GDEV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GDEV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GDEV's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.0976 | 0.1 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.41 | 0.95 | 0.91 |
Story Coverage note for GDEV
The number of cover stories for GDEV depends on current market conditions and GDEV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GDEV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GDEV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GDEV Short Properties
GDEV's future price predictability will typically decrease when GDEV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GDEV Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GDEV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GDEV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 156 M |
Additional Tools for GDEV Stock Analysis
When running GDEV's price analysis, check to measure GDEV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDEV is operating at the current time. Most of GDEV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDEV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDEV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDEV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.